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Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 4

Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife

1 – 1 Full time

8′J. AlvarezFabricio
40′Juanjo Sánchez
57′Enric Gallego
60′Fabricio
61′J. GarroI. Ruperez
61′I. AguirreT. Carbonell
66′M. PecarI. Chapela
67′Iñaki Rupérez
70′Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
71′A. MariezkurrenaJ. Soroeta
72′A. LebarbierG. Gorosabel
73′Fabricio Assis
76′Iván Chapela
76′J. MorenoC. Alvarez
77′TenerifeA. Krdzalic
81′J. Soroeta
88′D. DiazJ. Eceizabarrena

Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San SebastianReferee: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain

Real Sociedad II 34%
Draw 30%
Tenerife 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 1
56 Possession % 44
2 Corners 3
13 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
408 Accurate passes 284

Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal Sociedad IIDrawTenerife
Model22.4%31.0%46.6%
Market38.2%30.1%31.6%
Final34.3%30.3%35.4%
Edge-15.8%+0.8%+15.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Tenerife

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Tenerife below the model: +15.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Sociedad ↓ / Tenerife → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 14% 10% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Real Sociedad II and Tenerife expected goals

Real Sociedad II 0.83
Tenerife 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.15

Real Sociedad II and Tenerife attack and defence ratings

Real Sociedad II

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Tenerife

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife: result vs prediction

Real Sociedad II 1 – 1 Tenerife

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tenerife 35.4% 2.83 +15.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 57.3% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.7% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Sociedad II34.3%
Draw30.3%
Tenerife35.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.4%
Under 2.563.6%
Both teams to scoreYes42.7%
No57.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.6%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)65.7%
Handicap -1Tenerife win22.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-114.0%
0-012.9%

Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife stats

Real Sociedad II and Tenerife recent form

newest first
Real Sociedad II DWLDLD
Tenerife LWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Real Sociedad II wins 0Draws 2Tenerife wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-04-09Real Sociedad IITenerifeSegunda División1-2
2021-11-28TenerifeReal Sociedad IISegunda División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.9%, draw 30.0%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.58 3.15 2.74
1xBet 2.49 3.21 3.04
Bet365 2.45 3.10 2.90
BetVictor 2.38 3.10 2.88
Betano 2.45 3.10 3.10
Betfair 2.38 3.10 2.75
Dafabet 2.50 3.25 2.95
Marathonbet 2.38 3.12 3.02
Pinnacle 2.49 3.18 3.14
SBO 2.46 2.89 2.51
Superbet 2.42 3.20 3.05
Unibet 2.50 3.00 2.65
William Hill 2.45 3.00 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▼ -0.15
X 3.11 ▲ +0.01
2 2.96 ▲ +0.21

9 snapshots recorded, from .