Tenerife
vs
Sporting Gijon
0 – 1 Full time
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon
| Probability | Tenerife | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 30.4% | 23.2% |
| Market | 43.2% | 29.3% | 27.6% |
| Final | 44.0% | 29.6% | 26.5% |
| Edge | +3.3% | +1.1% | -4.4% |
Why Tenerife
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.88.
- The market prices Tenerife below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tenerife and Sporting Gijon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Tenerife and Sporting Gijon attack and defence ratings
Tenerife
Sporting Gijon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon: result vs prediction
Tenerife 0 – 1 Sporting Gijon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tenerife | 44.0% | 2.27 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tenerife | 44.0% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Sporting Gijon | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.7% |
| No | 55.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tenerife win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon stats
Tenerife and Sporting Gijon recent form
| Tenerife |
WWLWLD |
| Sporting Gijon |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Sporting Gijon | Tenerife | Segunda División | 1-3 |
| 2024-09-22 | Tenerife | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-20 | Tenerife | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-17 | Sporting Gijon | Tenerife | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Sporting Gijon | Tenerife | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-30 | Tenerife | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-13 | Sporting Gijon | Tenerife | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-21 | Tenerife | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-09 | Tenerife | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Sporting Gijon | Tenerife | Segunda División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 29.3%, away 27.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.22 | 3.15 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.23 | 3.42 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.85 | 3.01 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .