Girona
vs
Las Palmas
5 – 2 Full time
Girona vs Las Palmas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Girona vs Las Palmas
| Probability | Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 28.1% | 37.3% |
| Market | 55.8% | 24.9% | 19.3% |
| Final | 50.5% | 25.7% | 23.8% |
| Edge | -21.3% | +3.3% | +18.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Girona and Las Palmas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Girona and Las Palmas attack and defence ratings
Girona
Las Palmas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Girona vs Las Palmas: result vs prediction
Girona 5 – 2 Las Palmas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Girona vs Las Palmas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 50.5% | 1.98 | -21.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 50.5% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Las Palmas | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Girona win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 65.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Girona vs Las Palmas stats
Girona and Las Palmas recent form
| Girona |
LDDLDD |
| Las Palmas |
WWDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Girona vs Las Palmas head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | Girona | Las Palmas | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Las Palmas | Girona | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Las Palmas | Girona | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-09-03 | Girona | Las Palmas | La Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Girona vs Las Palmas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 24.9%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.00 | 4.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.75 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.88 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.82 | 4.82 |
| SBO | 1.64 | 3.40 | 4.09 |
| Superbet | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| Unibet | 1.56 | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .