Sabadell
vs
Almeria
1 – 0 Full time
Sabadell vs Almeria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sabadell vs Almeria
| Probability | Sabadell | Draw | Almeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 33.5% | 33.5% |
| Market | 33.2% | 29.8% | 37.0% |
| Final | 33.2% | 30.7% | 36.1% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +3.7% | -3.5% |
Why Almeria
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sabadell and Almeria expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
Sabadell and Almeria attack and defence ratings
Sabadell
Almeria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sabadell vs Almeria: result vs prediction
Sabadell 1 – 0 Almeria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sabadell vs Almeria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almeria | 36.1% | 2.77 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sabadell | 33.2% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Almeria | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almeria win | 13.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 66.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 12.2% |
Sabadell vs Almeria stats
Sabadell vs Almeria head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-24 | Almeria | Sabadell | Segunda División | 2-2 |
| 2020-11-05 | Sabadell | Almeria | Segunda División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sabadell vs Almeria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 29.8%, away 37.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.85 | 3.10 | 2.54 |
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.27 | 2.59 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.15 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.18 | 2.52 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83 | 3.24 | 2.58 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 2.92 | 2.41 |
| Superbet | 2.87 | 3.15 | 2.60 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .