Castellón
vs
Sabadell
0 – 0 Full time
Castellón vs Sabadell overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Castellón vs Sabadell
| Probability | Castellón | Draw | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.7% | 28.7% | 20.6% |
| Market | 57.5% | 24.7% | 17.8% |
| Final | 55.8% | 25.7% | 18.5% |
| Edge | -6.7% | +3.9% | +2.8% |
Why Castellón
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Castellón and Sabadell expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Castellón and Sabadell attack and defence ratings
Castellón
Sabadell
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Castellón vs Sabadell: result vs prediction
Castellón 0 – 0 Sabadell
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Castellón vs Sabadell markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Castellón | 55.8% | 1.79 | -6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Castellón | 55.8% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Sabadell | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Castellón win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Castellón vs Sabadell stats
Castellón vs Sabadell head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Castellón vs Sabadell odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.8%, draw 24.5%, away 17.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.56 | 3.85 | 5.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.01 | 5.40 |
| 888Sport | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.56 | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.47 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.52 | 4.62 |
| Superbet | 1.66 | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .