Garuda Lions
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Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 2

Real Oviedo vs Leganes

0 – 1 Full time

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, OviedoReferee: Gorka Etayo Herrera, Spain

Real Oviedo 49%
Draw 29%
Leganes 22%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Real Oviedo vs Leganes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oviedo vs Leganes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal OviedoDrawLeganes
Model41.5%30.9%27.6%
Market51.5%29.0%19.5%
Final49.0%29.5%21.5%
Edge-10.0%+1.8%+8.1%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Oviedo ↓ / Leganes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Real Oviedo and Leganes expected goals

Real Oviedo 1.27
Leganes 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.27

Real Oviedo and Leganes attack and defence ratings

Real Oviedo

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Leganes

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Oviedo vs Leganes: result vs prediction

Real Oviedo 0 – 1 Leganes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Real Oviedo vs Leganes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Oviedo 49.0% 2.04 -10.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.4% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Oviedo49.0%
Draw29.5%
Leganes21.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.6%
Under 2.560.4%
Both teams to scoreYes46.7%
No53.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.5%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.0%
Handicap -1Real Oviedo win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-011.9%
0-011.7%

Real Oviedo vs Leganes stats

Real Oviedo and Leganes recent form

newest first
Real Oviedo DLLLDL
Leganes DWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Oviedo vs Leganes head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Real Oviedo vs Leganes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.5%, draw 29.0%, away 19.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.87 3.10 4.70
1xBet 1.84 3.31 5.09
888Sport 1.85 3.10 4.50
Bet365 1.75 3.40 5.00
BetVictor 1.75 3.25 4.60
Betano 1.83 3.30 5.00
Betfair 1.70 3.20 4.75
Dafabet 1.82 3.40 4.90
Marathonbet 1.79 3.22 4.95
Pinnacle 1.83 3.29 5.43
SBO 1.88 3.01 3.77
Superbet 1.82 3.40 4.85
Unibet 1.84 3.10 4.10
William Hill 1.80 3.00 4.80

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.