AD Ceuta FC
vs
Las Palmas
0 – 2 Full time
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas
| Probability | AD Ceuta FC | Draw | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.6% | 26.9% | 44.5% |
| Market | 32.3% | 28.7% | 39.0% |
| Final | 31.4% | 28.2% | 40.4% |
| Edge | -3.7% | -1.8% | +5.5% |
Why Las Palmas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.25.
- The market prices Las Palmas below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas attack and defence ratings
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas: result vs prediction
AD Ceuta FC 0 – 2 Las Palmas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 40.4% | 2.48 | +5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AD Ceuta FC | 31.4% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Las Palmas | 40.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Las Palmas win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 8.1% |
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas stats
AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas recent form
| AD Ceuta FC |
LWWLDW |
| Las Palmas |
WDLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Las Palmas | AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | AD Ceuta FC | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 28.8%, away 39.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.15 | 3.10 | 2.34 |
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.42 | 2.44 |
| 888Sport | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.32 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.98 | 3.42 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.76 | 3.21 | 2.30 |
| Superbet | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 3.15 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .