Eldense
vs
Cadiz
2 – 2 Full time
Eldense vs Cadiz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eldense vs Cadiz
| Probability | Eldense | Draw | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.9% | 27.7% | 21.4% |
| Market | 41.8% | 30.2% | 28.0% |
| Final | 44.0% | 29.6% | 26.3% |
| Edge | +9.1% | -2.5% | -6.6% |
Why Eldense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Eldense below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eldense and Cadiz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Eldense and Cadiz attack and defence ratings
Eldense
Cadiz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eldense vs Cadiz: result vs prediction
Eldense 2 – 2 Cadiz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Eldense vs Cadiz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eldense | 44.0% | 2.27 | +9.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eldense | 44.0% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Cadiz | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eldense win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Eldense vs Cadiz stats
Eldense vs Cadiz head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-04 | Cadiz | Eldense | Copa del Rey | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eldense vs Cadiz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 30.5%, away 28.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.32 | 2.98 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.22 | 3.46 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.13 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.12 | 3.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.18 | 3.58 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.04 | 3.02 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .