Cadiz
vs
Real Valladolid
1 – 1 Full time
| -5′ | Yeray Cabanzon | ||
| 16′ | Julien Ponceau | ||
| 17′ | Izeta | ||
| 22′ | Jandro Orellana | ||
| 43′ | L. Chacon | ||
| 62′ | JandroJ. Gonzalez | ||
| 62′ | IzetaB. Vazquez | ||
| 69′ | R. van DuivenJ. Latasa | ||
| 69′ | Y. CabanzonV. Fernandez | ||
| 72′ | M. FernandezC. Gutierrez | ||
| 72′ | D. A. Zarate HidalgoI. Sanchez | ||
| 74′ | K. de RooijA. Balboa | ||
| 74′ | J. PonceauD. Perez Guerrero | ||
| 75′ | Borja Vázquez | ||
| 76′ | Thiago Ojeda | ||
| 82′ | Giorgi Gocholeishvili | ||
| 86′ | A. PascualV. Kopotun | ||
| 86′ | T. OjedaM. Lachuer | ||
| 88′ | Mathis Lachuer | ||
| 90′ | Javi Castro |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 400 | Accurate passes | 378 |
Cadiz vs Real Valladolid overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cadiz vs Real Valladolid
| Probability | Cadiz | Draw | Real Valladolid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.8% | 31.6% | 23.6% |
| Market | 41.8% | 30.3% | 27.9% |
| Final | 42.6% | 30.6% | 26.8% |
| Edge | +3.0% | +1.3% | -4.3% |
Why Cadiz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.85.
- The market prices Cadiz below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cadiz and Real Valladolid expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Cadiz and Real Valladolid attack and defence ratings
Cadiz
Real Valladolid
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cadiz vs Real Valladolid: result vs prediction
Cadiz 1 – 1 Real Valladolid
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cadiz vs Real Valladolid markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cadiz | 42.6% | 2.35 | +3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cadiz | 42.6% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Real Valladolid | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cadiz win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 14.0% | |
| 0-0 | 13.4% |
Cadiz vs Real Valladolid stats
Cadiz and Real Valladolid recent form
| Cadiz |
DDLWDL |
| Real Valladolid |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cadiz vs Real Valladolid head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Real Valladolid | Cadiz | Segunda División | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Cadiz | Real Valladolid | Segunda División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cadiz vs Real Valladolid odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 30.3%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.24 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.13 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.10 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.04 | 3.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.02 | 3.23 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 2.92 | 3.14 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.05 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .