Almeria
vs
Cadiz
3 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Dilan Zárate | ||
| 8′ | Stefan Džodić | ||
| 13′ | Javier Munoz | ||
| 25′ | J. Castro | ||
| 32′ | Brian Cipenga | ||
| 36′ | M. de la Fuente | ||
| 44′ | Leo Baptistao | ||
| 46′ | D. A. Zarate HidalgoV. Kopotun | ||
| 46′ | A. CorderoJ. Ontiveros | ||
| 46′ | D. RodriguezB. Vazquez | ||
| 54′ | G. GocholeishviliJ. Diaz Peregrina | ||
| 63′ | L. LeloA. Munoz | ||
| 64′ | Leo BaptistaoA. Embarba | ||
| 67′ | Marc-Olivier Doué | ||
| 76′ | M. LunaD. Chirino | ||
| 76′ | B. CipengaA. Sola | ||
| 80′ | Rodrigo ElyJ. Pulido | ||
| 80′ | JandroI. Sanchez | ||
| 90′ | D. Chirino |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 474 | Accurate passes | 325 |
Almeria vs Cadiz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almeria vs Cadiz
| Probability | Almeria | Draw | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 26.1% | 19.6% |
| Market | 63.2% | 22.4% | 14.3% |
| Final | 61.0% | 23.3% | 15.7% |
| Edge | -9.0% | +3.7% | +5.3% |
Why Almeria
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Almeria and Cadiz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Almeria and Cadiz attack and defence ratings
Almeria
Cadiz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almeria vs Cadiz: result vs prediction
Almeria 3 – 2 Cadiz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Almeria vs Cadiz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almeria | 61.0% | 1.64 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almeria | 61.0% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Cadiz | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almeria win | 30.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.3% |
Almeria vs Cadiz stats
Almeria vs Cadiz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Cadiz | Almeria | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-16 | Almeria | Cadiz | Segunda División | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Cadiz | Almeria | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Almeria | Cadiz | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Almeria | Cadiz | La Liga | 6-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Cadiz | Almeria | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Almeria | Cadiz | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-30 | Cadiz | Almeria | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-01 | Cadiz | Almeria | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2020-02-29 | Cadiz | Almeria | Segunda División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almeria vs Cadiz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.2%, draw 22.2%, away 15.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.52 | 4.10 | 5.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.38 | 6.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.25 | 6.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.34 | 6.74 |
| SBO | 1.48 | 3.68 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.52 | 4.40 | 5.90 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .