Segunda División · 2026-09-12T14:15:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Cadiz vs Las Palmas

0 – 1 Full time

30′			Marc-Olivier Doué
58′			Cristian GutiérrezSergio Arribas Prieto
58′			Javier OntiverosAntonio Cordero
58′			Urko Iruretagoiena LertxundiVladyslav Kopotun
60′			Enrique Clemente
72′			Álvaro García Pascual
72′			Iván JaimeRafael Cruz Suarez
72′			Borja VazquezEfe Ugiagbe Aghama
77′			Manu FusterSandro Ramírez
77′			Jesé RodríguezJefte Betancor Sanchez
82′			Álvaro García PascualGonzalo Petit
83′			Damián Rodríguez Sousa
85′			Taisei MiyashiroIvan Medina
85′			Iñaki González ZambranoKirian Rodríguez
90′			Antonio Cordero

JP Financial Estadio, CadizReferee: Eder Mallo Fernandez, Spain

Cadiz

34%

Draw

28%

Las Palmas

38%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

7	Shots	20
2	Shots on target	5
54	Possession %	46
7	Corners	9
14	Fouls	14
4	Offsides	1
4	Saves	2
341	Accurate passes	282

Cadiz vs Las Palmas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cadiz vs Las Palmas

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Cadiz	Draw	Las Palmas
Model	34.2%	26.8%	39.0%
Market	33.8%	28.5%	37.7%
Final	33.9%	28.1%	38.0%
Edge	+0.4%	-1.7%	+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Las Palmas

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

80%

3+ goals

56%

No goals

Cadiz and Las Palmas expected goals

Cadiz

1.41

Las Palmas

1.53

Total expected goals: 2.94

Cadiz and Las Palmas attack and defence ratings

Cadiz

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

1.28 +28%

Las Palmas

Attack

1.02 +2%

Defence

1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cadiz vs Las Palmas: result vs prediction

Cadiz 0 – 1 Las Palmas

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Segunda División

Burgos v AD Ceuta FC — match page · 2026-09-11
FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Girona vs Castellón · 2026-09-12
Granada vs Albacete — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Cordoba v Almeria — match page · 2026-09-12
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense · 2026-09-13
Real Valladolid v Real Oviedo — match page · 2026-09-13
Mallorca v Sabadell — match page · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Cadiz, previous: Almeria vs Cadiz: odds and pick
Cadiz, next: Cadiz vs Girona prediction
Las Palmas, previous: Las Palmas v Leganes analysis
Las Palmas, next: Las Palmas vs Burgos prediction

Cadiz vs Las Palmas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Las Palmas	38.0%	2.63	+1.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.4%	1.77	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	60.4%	1.66	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.9%	1.39	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	60.9%	1.64	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Cadiz	33.9%
	Draw	28.1%
	Las Palmas	38.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.4%
	Under 2.5	43.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	60.4%
	No	39.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.0%
	12 (either side)	71.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	66.1%
Handicap -1	Las Palmas win	19.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.4%
	Loss	60.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.5%
	1-2	8.7%
	2-1	8.1%

Cadiz vs Las Palmas stats

Cadiz and Las Palmas recent form

newest first

Cadiz	LDDDLW
Las Palmas	DLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cadiz vs Las Palmas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Cadiz wins 3Draws 5Las Palmas wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-08-08	Cadiz	Las Palmas	Friendlies Clubs	1-3
2026-04-27	Cadiz	Las Palmas	Segunda División	1-2
2025-10-05	Las Palmas	Cadiz	Segunda División	1-0
2025-07-24	Cadiz	Las Palmas	Friendlies Clubs	2-1
2024-05-19	Cadiz	Las Palmas	La Liga	0-0
2023-12-17	Las Palmas	Cadiz	La Liga	1-1
2023-07-28	Cadiz	Las Palmas	Friendlies Clubs	0-1
2022-07-26	Cadiz	Las Palmas	Friendlies Clubs	1-1
2021-07-27	Cadiz	Las Palmas	Friendlies Clubs	0-2
2020-02-08	Las Palmas	Cadiz	Segunda División	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cadiz vs Las Palmas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 28.7%, away 36.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.54	3.30	2.70
1xBet	2.82	3.42	2.53
Bet365	2.80	3.25	2.55
BetVictor	2.70	3.20	2.45
Betano	2.82	3.30	2.55
Betfair	2.60	3.25	2.45
Marathonbet	2.74	3.32	2.46
Pinnacle	2.82	3.37	2.59
SBO	2.60	3.04	2.40
Unibet	2.48	3.15	2.60
William Hill	2.70	3.10	2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.74 —

X 3.25 ▼ -0.11

2 2.46 ▼ -0.18

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-06T08:10:02Z.