Las Palmas
vs
Burgos
1 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | Manu Fuster | ||
| 34′ | Enzo Loiodice | ||
| 37′ | Jesé Rodríguez | ||
| 45′ | CurroÁlex Forés | ||
| 45′ | Marcelo ExpósitoJosé Gragera | ||
| 56′ | José Gragera | ||
| 58′ | Álex Forés | ||
| 64′ | Manu FusterRafael Cruz Suarez | ||
| 67′ | Brais MartínezIgnasi Vilarrasa Palacios | ||
| 67′ | Jon KarrikaburuVictor Mollejo | ||
| 71′ | Taisei MiyashiroSandro Ramírez | ||
| 71′ | Iván JaimeJefte Betancor Sanchez | ||
| 73′ | Oier Luengo Redondo | ||
| 75′ | Oier Luengo RedondoIván Martínez | ||
| 80′ | Kirian RodríguezElías Romero | ||
| 80′ | Jesé RodríguezIvan Medina | ||
| 87′ | Grego Sierra | ||
| 90′ | David Gonzalez |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 504 | Accurate passes | 258 |
Las Palmas vs Burgos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Las Palmas vs Burgos
| Probability | Las Palmas | Draw | Burgos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.0% | 31.7% | 37.3% |
| Market | 47.7% | 29.1% | 23.1% |
| Final | 43.6% | 29.8% | 26.7% |
| Edge | -16.7% | +2.6% | +14.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Las Palmas and Burgos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Las Palmas and Burgos attack and defence ratings
Las Palmas
Burgos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Las Palmas vs Burgos: result vs prediction
Las Palmas 1 – 2 Burgos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Las Palmas vs Burgos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 43.6% | 2.30 | -16.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 43.6% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Burgos | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Las Palmas win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 69.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-1 | 11.5% |
Las Palmas vs Burgos stats
Las Palmas and Burgos recent form
| Las Palmas |
WDLWWD |
| Burgos |
WDDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Las Palmas and Burgos going into this match
Las Palmas record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Burgos record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Las Palmas vs Burgos head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Las Palmas | Burgos | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Burgos | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-06 | Burgos | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-01 | Las Palmas | Burgos | Segunda División | 0-2 |
| 2022-02-13 | Las Palmas | Burgos | Segunda División | 0-2 |
| 2021-09-20 | Burgos | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Las Palmas vs Burgos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 29.1%, away 23.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.30 | 4.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.18 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.18 | 4.50 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.15 | 3.59 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .