Segunda División
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Eibar
vs
Las Palmas
3 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Ander Madariaga Susaeta | ||
| 9′ | Alvaro Rodriguez | ||
| 24′ | Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi | ||
| 28′ | Giovanni Bonfanti | ||
| 37′ | Alex Suárez | ||
| 61′ | Manu FusterJefte Betancor Sanchez | ||
| 62′ | Javier Martón Ansó | ||
| 68′ | Malcom AresElijah Gift Izobodo John | ||
| 68′ | Javier Martón AnsóJon Bautista | ||
| 69′ | Aleix GarridoLucas Nuñez Ramirez | ||
| 69′ | Kirian Rodríguez | ||
| 71′ | Jesé RodríguezElías Romero | ||
| 71′ | Alex SuárezAndrés Rodríguez Martínez | ||
| 79′ | jon guruzetaPejiño | ||
| 81′ | Giovanni BonfantiSandro Ramírez | ||
| 81′ | Iván Jaime | ||
| 85′ | Jefte Betancor Sanchez | ||
| 86′ | Andrés Rodríguez Martínez | ||
| 90′ | Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi | ||
| 90′ | Iñaki González Zambrano | ||
| 90′ | Iñaki González Zambrano |
Eibar
55%
Draw
26%
Las Palmas
19%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 403 | Accurate passes | 424 |
Eibar vs Las Palmas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eibar vs Las Palmas
| Probability | Eibar | Draw | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.1% | 23.0% | 13.9% |
| Market | 52.8% | 26.6% | 20.7% |
| Final | 55.4% | 25.7% | 19.0% |
| Edge | +10.3% | -3.6% | -6.7% |
Why Eibar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Eibar below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Eibar and Las Palmas expected goals
Eibar
1.96
Las Palmas
0.82
Total expected goals: 2.78
Eibar and Las Palmas attack and defence ratings
Eibar
Attack
1.35 +35%
Defence
0.71 -29%
Las Palmas
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eibar vs Las Palmas: result vs prediction
Eibar 3 – 2 Las Palmas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Eibar vs Las Palmas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eibar | 55.4% | 1.81 | +10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Eibar win | 39.1% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eibar | 55.4% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Las Palmas | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eibar win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 36.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
Eibar vs Las Palmas stats
Eibar and Las Palmas recent form
| Eibar |
WWWWWL |
| Las Palmas |
LWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Eibar and Las Palmas going into this match
Eibar record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Las Palmas record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Eibar vs Las Palmas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Eibar wins
2Draws
3Las Palmas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Eibar | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Las Palmas | Eibar | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-08 | Eibar | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2022-11-06 | Las Palmas | Eibar | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-15 | Eibar | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 2-2 |
| 2021-12-18 | Las Palmas | Eibar | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-12 | Eibar | Las Palmas | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2018-01-06 | Las Palmas | Eibar | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2017-04-06 | Eibar | Las Palmas | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2016-11-05 | Las Palmas | Eibar | La Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eibar vs Las Palmas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 26.6%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.54 | 4.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.50 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.44 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.52 | 4.88 |
| SBO | 1.77 | 3.40 | 4.04 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.76 ▼ -0.24
X
3.50 ▲ +0.34
2
4.50 ▲ +0.32
14 snapshots recorded, from .