Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 7

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell

1 – 1 Full time

6′Alvaro·Marin Sesma
20′Pere Pons
23′Edgar Gonzalez
32′Edgar Gonzalez
45′Pere PonsÁngel Baena
54′José Luis Català
54′Albert Orriols Cerarols
60′José Luis CatalàJavi López-Pinto
60′Gastón Joaquín Valles VelázquezNikolay Obolskiy
60′Óscar MarcosÁngel Arcos
71′Joel PriegoAlain Ribeiro
72′Hugo BurcioPablo González Meixús
72′Pablo Gavián AlonsoJoel Lopez
78′Anxo Rodríguez Álvarez
81′Alvaro·Marin SesmaJorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey
81′Aldrine KibetAngel Davila Outerelo
86′Ton RipollEneko Aguilar
89′Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye

Municipal de Balaídos, VigoReferee: Gorka Etayo Herrera

Celta de Vigo II 28%
Draw 28%
Sabadell 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
45 Possession % 55
3 Corners 7
15 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 2
1 Saves 0
260 Accurate passes 271

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCelta de Vigo IIDrawSabadell
Model29.7%29.3%41.0%
Market27.7%28.2%44.1%
Final28.2%28.5%43.3%
Edge+2.0%+1.1%-3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Sabadell

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Celta de Vigo ↓ / Sabadell → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell expected goals

Celta de Vigo II 1.13
Sabadell 1.37

Total expected goals: 2.51

Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell attack and defence ratings

Celta de Vigo II

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Sabadell

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell: result vs prediction

Celta de Vigo II 1 – 1 Sabadell

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sabadell 43.3% 2.31 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.2% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Celta de Vigo II28.2%
Draw28.5%
Sabadell43.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.8%
Under 2.554.2%
Both teams to scoreYes51.9%
No48.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.7%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)71.8%
Handicap -1Sabadell win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-19.9%
0-09.4%

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell stats

Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell recent form

newest first
Celta de Vigo II LLWLWD
Sabadell WLWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell going into this match

league record before kick-off

Celta de Vigo II record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sabadell record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Celta de Vigo II wins 0Draws 1Sabadell wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-01-21SabadellCelta de Vigo IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 12-1
2023-10-28Celta de Vigo IISabadellPrimera División RFEF - Group 14-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 28.2%, away 44.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.46 3.42 2.17
Bet365 3.40 3.40 2.15
BetVictor 3.25 3.25 2.10
Betano 3.45 3.30 2.18
Betfair 3.30 3.10 2.05
Marathonbet 3.36 3.32 2.10
Pinnacle 3.57 3.35 2.20
SBO 3.17 3.12 2.11
William Hill 3.30 3.10 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.36 ▲ +0.18
X 3.30 ▼ -0.03
2 2.11 ▼ -0.08

12 snapshots recorded, from .