Segunda División · 2026-09-27T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Real Valladolid vs Cordoba

3 – 1 Full time

3′			Juan Miguel Latasa
4′			Miguel Rubio
23′			Luis Rodríguez Chacón
38′			Adrian Arnu
45′			Kevin Villodres Medina
45′			Miguel RubioPablo Tomeo Félez
45′			Álex MartínJuan Gutiérrez
45′			Kevin Villodres MedinaDiego Bri
54′			Víctor Fernández
60′			Juan Gutiérrez
63′			Adrian ArnuVictor Barbera
68′			Cristian CarracedoEnol Rodríguez Heres
68′			Youssouf DiarraThéo Zidane
72′			Juan Miguel LatasaRobin van Duiven
72′			Víctor FernándezYeray Cabanzón
73′			Victor Barbera
78′			Carlos AlbarranSalim El Jebari
81′			Julien PonceauMathis Lachuer
90′			Diego Bri
90′			David Torres

Estadio José Zorrilla, ValladolidReferee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Real Valladolid

37%

Draw

28%

Cordoba

34%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

12	Shots	16
7	Shots on target	4
38	Possession %	62
2	Corners	5
16	Fouls	19
6	Offsides	0
3	Saves	4
182	Accurate passes	350

Real Valladolid vs Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Valladolid vs Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Real Valladolid	Draw	Cordoba
Model	28.0%	30.7%	41.4%
Market	40.3%	27.7%	32.0%
Final	37.2%	28.5%	34.3%
Edge	-12.3%	+2.9%	+9.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

89%

2+ goals

68%

3+ goals

40%

No goals

11%

Real Valladolid and Cordoba expected goals

Real Valladolid

1.01

Cordoba

1.29

Total expected goals: 2.30

Real Valladolid and Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Real Valladolid

Attack

0.57 -43%

Defence

1.02 +2%

Cordoba

Attack

1.07 +7%

Defence

1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Valladolid vs Cordoba: result vs prediction

Real Valladolid 3 – 1 Cordoba

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Segunda División

Girona vs Albacete · 2026-09-25
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II — team news & stats · 2026-09-26
Granada v FC Andorra — match page · 2026-09-26
Tenerife vs Cadiz · 2026-09-26
Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell · 2026-09-26
Mallorca vs Almeria — team news & stats · 2026-09-27
Eibar vs Las Palmas — team news & stats · 2026-09-27
Burgos v Eldense — match page · 2026-09-27

Before and after this match

Real Valladolid, previous: AD Ceuta FC v Real Valladolid analysis
Real Valladolid, next: Las Palmas v Real Valladolid analysis
Cordoba, previous: Albacete v Cordoba analysis
Cordoba, next: Cordoba vs Tenerife prediction

Real Valladolid vs Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Real Valladolid	37.2%	2.69	-12.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	59.6%	1.68	—	—
Both teams to score	No	52.6%	1.90	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.5%	1.40	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	72.0%	1.39	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Real Valladolid	37.2%
	Draw	28.5%
	Cordoba	34.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	40.4%
	Under 2.5	59.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	47.4%
	No	52.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.7%
	12 (either side)	71.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.8%
Handicap -1	Real Valladolid win	10.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.1%
	Loss	72.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.4%
	0-1	11.6%
	0-0	11.3%

Real Valladolid vs Cordoba stats

Real Valladolid and Cordoba recent form

newest first

Real Valladolid	DLWDLL
Cordoba	WLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Valladolid and Cordoba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Valladolid record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cordoba record

They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Real Valladolid vs Cordoba head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Real Valladolid wins 2Draws 2Cordoba wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-01-31	Cordoba	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	3-1
2025-08-30	Real Valladolid	Cordoba	Segunda División	0-0
2018-02-25	Cordoba	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	2-1
2017-09-30	Real Valladolid	Cordoba	Segunda División	4-1
2017-04-09	Real Valladolid	Cordoba	Segunda División	2-1
2016-10-29	Cordoba	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Valladolid vs Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 27.7%, away 32.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.36	3.44	3.04
Bet365	2.30	3.50	2.90
BetVictor	2.25	3.30	2.88
Betano	2.32	3.45	3.00
Betfair	2.25	3.20	2.88
Marathonbet	2.29	3.34	2.95
Pinnacle	2.40	3.43	3.08
SBO	2.28	3.19	2.80
William Hill	2.30	3.10	2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.09

X 3.34 ▼ -0.11

2 2.90 ▼ -0.22

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-21T08:10:02Z.