Segunda División
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Las Palmas
vs
Real Valladolid
2 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | V. Pezzolesi | ||
| 10′ | J. Latasa | ||
| 26′ | J. Ponceau | ||
| 35′ | Mathis Lachuer | ||
| 45′ | Iván Jaime | ||
| 54′ | E. Romero | ||
| 63′ | M. LachuerK. de Rooij | ||
| 67′ | E. RomeroM. Fuster | ||
| 72′ | A. RodriguezA. Rodriguez | ||
| 72′ | JeseJ. Betancor | ||
| 77′ | Francisco Escriba Segura | ||
| 77′ | I. GarrielC. Clerc | ||
| 77′ | J. PonceauT. Ojeda | ||
| 77′ | A. ArnuncioV. Barbera | ||
| 78′ | Víctor Fernández | ||
| 82′ | Kaj de Rooij | ||
| 82′ | V. FernandezY. Cabanzon | ||
| 88′ | Ivan JaimeI. Medina | ||
| 90′ | Yeray Cabanzón | ||
| 90′ | Ivan Medina | ||
| 90′ | Giovanni Bonfanti |
Las Palmas
43%
Draw
29%
Real Valladolid
28%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 25 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 418 | Accurate passes | 271 |
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid
| Probability | Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.7% | 28.6% | 24.7% |
| Market | 41.3% | 29.5% | 29.2% |
| Final | 42.6% | 29.3% | 28.1% |
| Edge | +5.4% | -0.9% | -4.5% |
Why Las Palmas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.01.
- The market prices Las Palmas below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
10%
Las Palmas and Real Valladolid expected goals
Las Palmas
1.48
Real Valladolid
1.01
Total expected goals: 2.49
Las Palmas and Real Valladolid attack and defence ratings
Las Palmas
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Real Valladolid
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid: result vs prediction
Las Palmas 2 – 2 Real Valladolid
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 42.6% | 2.35 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 42.6% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Real Valladolid | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Las Palmas win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid stats
Las Palmas and Real Valladolid recent form
| Las Palmas |
LLWDLW |
| Real Valladolid |
WDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Las Palmas and Real Valladolid going into this match
Las Palmas record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Valladolid record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
4Las Palmas wins
2Draws
1Real Valladolid wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Las Palmas | Real Valladolid | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Real Valladolid | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Real Valladolid | Las Palmas | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Las Palmas | Real Valladolid | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Real Valladolid | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2021-12-15 | Real Valladolid | Las Palmas | Copa del Rey | 3-1 |
| 2021-08-15 | Las Palmas | Real Valladolid | Segunda División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 29.5%, away 29.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.15 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.20 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.32 | 3.18 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.96 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▲ +0.05
X
3.15 ▼ -0.05
2
3.18 ▼ -0.19
14 snapshots recorded, from .