Segunda División
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Mallorca
vs
Las Palmas
3 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Pablo Torre | ||
| 44′ | Adrian Liso | ||
| 52′ | Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi | ||
| 53′ | Alex Sala | ||
| 57′ | Kirian RodríguezElías Romero | ||
| 62′ | Elías Romero | ||
| 66′ | Taisei MiyashiroRafael Cruz Suarez | ||
| 68′ | Josep CerdaZito Luvumbo | ||
| 68′ | Alberto MorenoAntonio Latorre Grueso | ||
| 73′ | Iván Jaime | ||
| 74′ | Pablo TorreSergi Darder | ||
| 82′ | Adrian Fuentes | ||
| 83′ | Alex SalaMiguel Calatayud García | ||
| 83′ | Antonio SánchezGuille Fernández | ||
| 85′ | Jefte Betancor SanchezManu Fuster | ||
| 85′ | Enzo LoiodiceGiovanni Bonfanti | ||
| 85′ | Adrián Rodríguez del RosarioMateo Acimovic | ||
| 86′ | Juanma Herzog |
Mallorca
59%
Draw
25%
Las Palmas
16%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 510 | Accurate passes | 246 |
Mallorca vs Las Palmas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mallorca vs Las Palmas
| Probability | Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 30.1% | 18.8% |
| Market | 61.8% | 22.8% | 15.4% |
| Final | 59.1% | 24.6% | 16.2% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +1.8% | +0.9% |
Why Mallorca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Mallorca and Las Palmas expected goals
Mallorca
1.39
Las Palmas
0.74
Total expected goals: 2.13
Mallorca and Las Palmas attack and defence ratings
Mallorca
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.60 -40%
Las Palmas
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mallorca vs Las Palmas: result vs prediction
Mallorca 3 – 1 Las Palmas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mallorca vs Las Palmas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 59.1% | 1.69 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 59.1% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Las Palmas | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mallorca win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Mallorca vs Las Palmas stats
Mallorca and Las Palmas recent form
| Mallorca |
DLWWDW |
| Las Palmas |
DLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mallorca and Las Palmas going into this match
Mallorca record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Las Palmas record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mallorca vs Las Palmas head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
4Mallorca wins
3Draws
1Las Palmas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-16 | Mallorca | Las Palmas | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Las Palmas | Mallorca | La Liga | 2-3 |
| 2024-05-11 | Mallorca | Las Palmas | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Las Palmas | Mallorca | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-04 | Las Palmas | Mallorca | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-10 | Mallorca | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2019-03-17 | Las Palmas | Mallorca | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2018-10-27 | Mallorca | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mallorca vs Las Palmas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.8%, draw 22.8%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.43 | 6.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.15 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.30 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.43 | 6.50 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.85 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.50 ▼ -0.11
X
4.08 ▲ +0.14
2
6.05 ▲ +0.78
14 snapshots recorded, from .