Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 9

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon

0 – 1 Full time

32′Manuel Rodríguez Paz
50′Sergio Arribas Prieto
54′Jorge Sáenz
65′Aimen MoueffekMarc-Olivier Doué
69′Enol Prendes OrtizDiego Matabuena Álvarez
74′Ibon Ignacio Sánchez OcénBorja Vazquez
74′Vladyslav KopotunÁlvaro García Pascual
80′Manuel Rodríguez PazMamadou Loum
80′Gaspar CamposPablo García
86′Antonio CorderoDamián Rodríguez Sousa
86′Jandro OrellanaEfe Ugiagbe Aghama
87′Pablo García
90′César GelabertIker Martinez Martinez

Nuevo Mirandilla, CadizReferee: Saul Ais Reig

Cadiz 43%
Draw 29%
Sporting Gijon 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 1
54 Possession % 46
8 Corners 6
8 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
0 Saves 1
421 Accurate passes 346

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCadizDrawSporting Gijon
Model40.2%27.6%32.2%
Market43.8%29.7%26.5%
Final42.9%29.2%27.9%
Edge-0.9%-0.5%+1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cadiz ↓ / Sporting Gijon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Cadiz and Sporting Gijon expected goals

Cadiz 1.49
Sporting Gijon 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.79

Cadiz and Sporting Gijon attack and defence ratings

Cadiz

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Sporting Gijon

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon: result vs prediction

Cadiz 0 – 1 Sporting Gijon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cadiz 42.9% 2.33 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.7% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cadiz42.9%
Draw29.2%
Sporting Gijon27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.9%
Under 2.547.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.6%
No42.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.1%
Handicap -1Cadiz win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss59.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-18.8%
1-07.9%

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon stats

Cadiz and Sporting Gijon recent form

newest first
Cadiz WDLLLD
Sporting Gijon WLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cadiz and Sporting Gijon going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cadiz record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting Gijon record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Cadiz wins 3Draws 4Sporting Gijon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19Sporting GijonCadizSegunda División3-0
2026-01-09CadizSporting GijonSegunda División3-2
2025-04-25CadizSporting GijonSegunda División1-0
2024-11-02Sporting GijonCadizSegunda División2-0
2022-01-15Sporting GijonCadizCopa del Rey0-0
2020-02-21Sporting GijonCadizSegunda División1-0
2019-11-01CadizSporting GijonSegunda División3-1
2019-06-08Sporting GijonCadizSegunda División1-0
2018-10-21CadizSporting GijonSegunda División0-0
2018-04-22CadizSporting GijonSegunda División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 29.7%, away 26.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.19 3.28 3.57
Bet365 2.05 3.10 4.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.10 3.25
Betano 2.15 3.25 3.55
Betfair 2.05 3.10 3.30
Dafabet 2.15 3.25 3.60
Marathonbet 2.12 3.18 3.46
Pinnacle 2.15 3.22 3.88
SBO 2.11 3.04 3.25
William Hill 2.05 3.00 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.13 ▼ -0.37
X 3.14 ▼ -0.08
2 3.52 ▲ +0.77

14 snapshots recorded, from .