FC Andorra
vs
Castellón
Garuda Lions Prediction: Castellón
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
FC Andorra vs Castellón overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Andorra vs Castellón
| Probability | FC Andorra | Draw | Castellón |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.0% | 25.6% | 55.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.0% | 25.6% | 55.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Castellón
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FC Andorra vs Castellón match preview
FC Andorra will face Castellón in the Segunda División on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 19% probability of an FC Andorra victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 55% likelihood of a Castellón win. The expected goals suggest FC Andorra will score 0.95, while Castellón is projected to net 1.76. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 11%.
In terms of recent form, FC Andorra has struggled, recording a draw followed by four consecutive losses, while Castellón has shown strong performance with five wins and a draw in their last six matches. The head-to-head record favors Castellón, who has won both of the last two encounters against FC Andorra. Both teams have a 51% chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals, and there is a 52% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Andorra and Castellón expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
FC Andorra and Castellón attack and defence ratings
FC Andorra
Castellón
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Andorra vs Castellón markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Castellón | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Andorra | 19.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Castellón | 55.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Castellón win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 44.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-2 | 10.3% |
FC Andorra vs Castellón stats
FC Andorra and Castellón recent form
| FC Andorra |
DWLLLL |
| Castellón |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Andorra and Castellón season so far
FC Andorra record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Castellón record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Andorra vs Castellón head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Castellón | FC Andorra | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Andorra | Castellón | Segunda División | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.