Segunda División · 2026-10-12T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Real Valladolid vs Albacete

5 – 0 Full time

14′			F. GamezA. Albarracin
14′			J. Ponceau
22′			D. Torres
31′			A. Pacheco
31′			A. Arnuncio
37′			J. Latasa
40′			A. Albarracin
43′			J. Corpas
54′			A. Arnuncio
59′			V. San BartolomeS. Ortuno
59′			R. GonzalezA. Rubio
61′			T. OjedaM. Lachuer
63′			S. Ortuno
68′			J. PonceauK. de Rooij
68′			A. ArnuncioV. Barbera
74′			I. GarrielH. Al Amin
75′			V. FernandezY. Cabanzon
77′			I. Alejo
78′			V. ValverdeJ. Villar
78′			A. PachecoD. Bernabeu
83′			K. de Rooij

Estadio José Zorrilla, ValladolidReferee: Miranda Bolano, Daniel

Real Valladolid

48%

Draw

28%

Albacete

24%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

19	Shots	10
7	Shots on target	2
56	Possession %	44
7	Corners	5
11	Fouls	16
2	Offsides	0
2	Saves	2
388	Accurate passes	287

Real Valladolid vs Albacete overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Valladolid vs Albacete

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Real Valladolid	Draw	Albacete
Model	48.5%	28.5%	23.0%
Market	47.7%	28.0%	24.3%
Final	47.9%	28.1%	24.0%
Edge	+0.2%	+0.1%	-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Real Valladolid

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.96.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

72%

3+ goals

45%

No goals

10%

Real Valladolid and Albacete expected goals

Real Valladolid

1.50

Albacete

0.96

Total expected goals: 2.47

Real Valladolid and Albacete attack and defence ratings

Real Valladolid

Attack

0.84 -16%

Defence

1.07 +7%

Albacete

Attack

0.77 -23%

Defence

1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Valladolid vs Albacete: result vs prediction

Real Valladolid 5 – 0 Albacete

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Segunda División

AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell · 2026-10-10
Eldense vs Cordoba — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II · 2026-10-10
FC Andorra vs Castellón — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Almeria vs Leganes — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Mallorca v Las Palmas — match page · 2026-10-11
Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon · 2026-10-11
Burgos v Granada — match page · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Real Valladolid, previous: Las Palmas v Real Valladolid analysis
Real Valladolid, next: Real Valladolid – Eldense, 2026-10-18
Albacete, previous: Albacete – Eibar, 2026-10-03
Albacete, next: Sporting Gijon v Albacete analysis

Real Valladolid vs Albacete markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Real Valladolid	47.9%	2.09	+0.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	55.2%	1.81	—	—
Both teams to score	No	50.7%	1.97	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	76.0%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.5%	1.94	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Real Valladolid	47.9%
	Draw	28.1%
	Albacete	24.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	44.8%
	Under 2.5	55.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	49.3%
	No	50.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	76.0%
	12 (either side)	71.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	52.1%
Handicap -1	Real Valladolid win	25.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.3%
	Loss	51.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.5%
	1-0	11.5%
	0-0	9.7%

Real Valladolid vs Albacete stats

Real Valladolid and Albacete recent form

newest first

Real Valladolid	DWDLWD
Albacete	LLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Valladolid and Albacete going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Valladolid record

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albacete record

They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Real Valladolid vs Albacete head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Real Valladolid wins 1Draws 4Albacete wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-01-24	Real Valladolid	Albacete	Segunda División	0-1
2025-09-21	Albacete	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	2-0
2024-02-12	Real Valladolid	Albacete	Segunda División	0-0
2023-09-01	Albacete	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	2-0
2018-05-12	Real Valladolid	Albacete	Segunda División	3-2
2017-12-09	Albacete	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Valladolid vs Albacete odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 28.0%, away 24.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.00	3.38	4.04
Bet365	1.95	3.30	4.00
BetVictor	1.93	3.40	3.60
Betano	2.02	3.40	3.85
Betfair	1.90	3.30	3.60
Dafabet	2.02	3.40	3.80
Marathonbet	1.94	3.28	3.92
Pinnacle	2.02	3.34	4.15
SBO	1.95	3.06	3.24
William Hill	1.95	3.30	3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.08

X 3.32 ▼ -0.07

2 3.83 ▼ -0.24

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-05T16:10:01Z.