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Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 9

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II

4 – 1 Full time

9′Alexis Olmedo Vila
12′Ángel Arcos
15′Óscar Marcos
21′Joel Lopez
27′Jon Balda
31′Inaki Ruperez
33′Alvaro·Marin Sesma
36′Alvaro·Marin Sesma
45′Joel LopezFrank Germain Jonathan Miller
45′Alexis Olmedo VilaSeyni Mbaye Ndiaye
59′Aldrine Kibet
60′Alex LebarbierIbai Aguirre
60′Inaki RuperezJon Garro
60′Sydney OsazuwaJavier Soroeta
67′Ángel ArcosJan Oliveras
73′Óscar MarcosHugo Cuenca
74′Tomy Carbonell
74′Dani DiazAndrews Adjabeng
78′Adrià CapdevilaAngel Davila Outerelo
83′Gorka GorosabelJon Eceizabarrena
87′Jon Balda

Municipal de Balaídos, VigoReferee: Gordillo, Juan

Celta de Vigo II 38%
Draw 27%
Real Sociedad II 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 23
8 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
1 Corners 10
8 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
4 Saves 4
401 Accurate passes 374

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCelta de Vigo IIDrawReal Sociedad II
Model42.0%25.4%32.5%
Market36.5%27.9%35.6%
Final37.9%27.3%34.8%
Edge+1.4%-0.6%-0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Celta de Vigo ↓ / Real Sociedad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II expected goals

Celta de Vigo II 1.70
Real Sociedad II 1.48

Total expected goals: 3.18

Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II attack and defence ratings

Celta de Vigo II

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Real Sociedad II

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II: result vs prediction

Celta de Vigo II 4 – 1 Real Sociedad II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Celta de Vigo II 37.9% 2.64 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.2% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Celta de Vigo II37.9%
Draw27.3%
Real Sociedad II34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%
Both teams to scoreYes64.2%
No35.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)62.1%
Handicap -1Celta de Vigo II win22.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss58.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-18.9%
1-27.7%

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II stats

Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II recent form

newest first
Celta de Vigo II LDLLWL
Real Sociedad II LLLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Celta de Vigo II record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Sociedad II record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Celta de Vigo II wins 1Draws 2Real Sociedad II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-24Real Sociedad IICelta de Vigo IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 12-0
2025-01-11Celta de Vigo IIReal Sociedad IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 12-1
2024-05-04Real Sociedad IICelta de Vigo IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 10-0
2023-11-26Celta de Vigo IIReal Sociedad IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 11-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 27.9%, away 35.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.60 3.49 2.70
Bet365 2.70 3.25 2.62
BetVictor 2.55 3.30 2.50
Betano 2.65 3.40 2.65
Betfair 2.45 3.30 2.50
Dafabet 2.55 3.50 2.65
Marathonbet 2.52 3.38 2.61
Pinnacle 2.71 3.51 2.63
SBO 2.47 3.20 2.54
William Hill 2.50 3.20 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▲ +0.29
X 3.34 ▼ -0.24
2 2.62 ▼ -0.50

14 snapshots recorded, from .