Celta de Vigo II
vs
Real Sociedad II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Celta de Vigo II
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II
| Probability | Celta de Vigo II | Draw | Real Sociedad II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| Market | 41.9% | 26.9% | 31.1% |
| Final | 42.0% | 26.6% | 31.5% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -1.5% | +1.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II match preview
Celta de Vigo II faces Real Sociedad II in a Segunda División match on October 10, 2026. Celta de Vigo II has a 42% probability of winning, while Real Sociedad II stands at 31%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Celta de Vigo II is 1.57, slightly higher than Real Sociedad II's 1.34. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Celta de Vigo II, with a 9% probability.
Recent form shows Celta de Vigo II with mixed results, recording two wins and three losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Real Sociedad II has struggled, with only one win in their last six games, alongside three losses and two draws. There is a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, and both teams have a 60% chance of scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II attack and defence ratings
Celta de Vigo II
Real Sociedad II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta de Vigo II | 42.0% | 2.38 | +0.1% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta de Vigo II | 42.0% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Real Sociedad II | 31.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% |
| No | 35.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celta de Vigo II win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II stats
Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II recent form
| Celta de Vigo II |
LDLLWL |
| Real Sociedad II |
LLLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II season so far
Celta de Vigo II record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Sociedad II record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-24 | Real Sociedad II | Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Celta de Vigo II | Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Real Sociedad II | Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-26 | Celta de Vigo II | Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 26.9%, away 31.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.61 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.50 | 2.97 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.57 | 3.12 |
| SBO | 2.10 | 3.16 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .