Girona
vs
FC Andorra
Garuda Lions Prediction: Girona
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Girona vs FC Andorra overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Girona vs FC Andorra
| Probability | Girona | Draw | FC Andorra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.6% | 27.5% | 20.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.6% | 27.5% | 20.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Girona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Girona vs FC Andorra match preview
Girona enters this match with a probability of 52% to secure a win against FC Andorra, who stands at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an 11% chance. Girona's expected goals are 1.66, while FC Andorra's are 0.97, indicating a potential advantage for the home side in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, Girona has recorded a sequence of results with two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches, while FC Andorra has experienced three wins, two losses, and one draw in the same timeframe. The probability of both teams scoring is slightly higher at 51%, and there is a near-even chance of over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Girona and FC Andorra expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Girona and FC Andorra attack and defence ratings
Girona
FC Andorra
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Girona vs FC Andorra markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 51.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| FC Andorra | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Girona win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.1% |
Girona vs FC Andorra stats
Girona and FC Andorra recent form
| Girona |
DDWWLW |
| FC Andorra |
WDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Girona and FC Andorra season so far
Girona record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Andorra record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Girona vs FC Andorra head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-22 | Girona | FC Andorra | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2022-07-27 | Girona | FC Andorra | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.