Segunda División · 2026-10-12T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Tenerife vs Girona

1 – 1 Full time

4′			Yaser Asprilla
21′			David Rodríguez Ramos
23′			Izan González
24′			Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa
26′			Enric Gallego
45′			Paulo GazzanigaVladyslav Krapyvtsov
52′			Fabricio Assis de Souza BarbosaJesus Alvarez
53′			Vladyslav Vanat
55′			Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz
59′			Abel RuízBryan Gil
59′			Yaser AsprillaDonny van de Beek
67′			Dani FernándezGerard Valentín
71′			Carles PérezUnai Hernández
76′			Nacho GilNoel López
76′			Mauro PittonA. Krdžalić
76′			Christian Pierre Louis GomisGrant Leon Ranos
78′			Izan GonzálezOleksandr Pyshchur
88′			Enric Gallego
89′			Donny van de Beek

Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de TenerifeReferee: Daniel Palencia Caballero

Tenerife

33%

Draw

30%

Girona

37%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

12	Shots	12
3	Shots on target	4
41	Possession %	59
6	Corners	3
20	Fouls	15
3	Offsides	1
3	Saves	2
263	Accurate passes	395

Tenerife vs Girona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tenerife vs Girona

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Tenerife	Draw	Girona
Model	31.4%	29.5%	39.1%
Market	33.4%	30.1%	36.5%
Final	32.9%	30.0%	37.1%
Edge	-0.5%	-0.2%	+0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Girona

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

72%

3+ goals

45%

No goals

10%

Tenerife and Girona expected goals

Tenerife

1.17

Girona

1.33

Total expected goals: 2.49

Tenerife and Girona attack and defence ratings

Tenerife

Attack

0.97 -3%

Defence

1.07 +7%

Girona

Attack

1.06 +6%

Defence

0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tenerife vs Girona: result vs prediction

Tenerife 1 – 1 Girona

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Segunda División

AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell · 2026-10-10
Eldense vs Cordoba — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II · 2026-10-10
FC Andorra vs Castellón — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Almeria vs Leganes — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Mallorca v Las Palmas — match page · 2026-10-11
Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon · 2026-10-11
Real Valladolid v Albacete — match page · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Tenerife, previous: Cordoba vs Tenerife prediction
Tenerife, next: Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife: odds and pick
Girona, previous: Girona vs Mallorca: odds and pick
Girona, next: Girona vs FC Andorra: odds and pick

Tenerife vs Girona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Girona	37.1%	2.69	+0.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.5%	1.83	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.9%	1.93	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.0%	1.43	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	61.0%	1.64	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Tenerife	32.9%
	Draw	30.0%
	Girona	37.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.5%
	Under 2.5	54.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.9%
	No	48.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.9%
	12 (either side)	70.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	67.1%
Handicap -1	Girona win	18.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.7%
	Loss	61.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.1%
	0-1	9.7%
	0-0	9.5%

Tenerife vs Girona stats

Tenerife and Girona recent form

newest first

Tenerife	LDLWDL
Girona	DWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tenerife and Girona going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tenerife record

They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Girona record

They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tenerife vs Girona head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Tenerife wins 3Draws 3Girona wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2022-06-19	Tenerife	Girona	Segunda División	1-3
2022-06-11	Girona	Tenerife	Segunda División	0-0
2022-05-09	Girona	Tenerife	Segunda División	0-1
2021-11-08	Tenerife	Girona	Segunda División	2-1
2021-05-01	Girona	Tenerife	Segunda División	1-0
2020-12-21	Tenerife	Girona	Segunda División	2-0
2020-01-19	Tenerife	Girona	Segunda División	1-0
2019-11-08	Girona	Tenerife	Segunda División	1-0
2017-04-15	Tenerife	Girona	Segunda División	3-3
2016-11-05	Girona	Tenerife	Segunda División	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tenerife vs Girona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.4%, draw 30.1%, away 36.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.80	3.25	2.65
Bet365	2.80	3.10	2.60
BetVictor	2.70	3.13	2.45
Betano	2.90	3.10	2.62
Betfair	2.63	3.10	2.40
Dafabet	2.85	3.25	2.55
Marathonbet	2.71	3.15	2.57
Pinnacle	2.96	3.10	2.68
SBO	2.60	2.95	2.33
William Hill	2.80	2.90	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▼ -0.21

X 3.10 ▼ -0.05

2 2.56 ▲ +0.26

15 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-05T16:10:01Z.