FC Andorra
vs
Burgos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Burgos
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.86.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FC Andorra vs Burgos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Andorra vs Burgos
| Probability | FC Andorra | Draw | Burgos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 32.4% | 42.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.2% | 32.4% | 42.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Burgos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
FC Andorra vs Burgos match preview
FC Andorra will face Burgos in their upcoming Segunda División match, with the probabilities indicating a 25% chance of a home win for Andorra, a 32% likelihood of a draw, and a 42% chance for an away victory for Burgos. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%. Expected goals for FC Andorra stand at 0.86, while Burgos is forecasted to score 1.20.
In terms of recent form, FC Andorra has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Burgos has shown stronger performance with four wins in their last six outings. The head-to-head record between the two teams shows one win each in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Andorra and Burgos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
FC Andorra and Burgos attack and defence ratings
FC Andorra
Burgos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Andorra vs Burgos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burgos | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Andorra | 25.2% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Burgos | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Burgos win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 0-1 | 14.0% |
FC Andorra vs Burgos stats
FC Andorra and Burgos recent form
| FC Andorra |
LWDWLL |
| Burgos |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Andorra and Burgos season so far
FC Andorra record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Burgos record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Andorra vs Burgos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Burgos | FC Andorra | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | FC Andorra | Burgos | Segunda División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.