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Copa del Rey · ·Round of 128

Varea vs FC Andorra

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Andorra

1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability

Bet on FC Andorra
Varea 26%
Draw 26%
FC Andorra 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC Andorra wins
48%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
58%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Varea vs FC Andorra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Varea vs FC Andorra

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVareaDrawFC Andorra
Model26.0%26.3%47.6%
Market———
Final26.0%26.3%47.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Andorra

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.19.

Varea vs FC Andorra match preview

In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Varea faces FC Andorra with a kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome show Varea at 26%, a draw at 26%, and FC Andorra leading with 48%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a probability of 10%.

When analyzing the expected goals, Varea is projected to score 1.19 while FC Andorra is forecasted at 1.68. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 58%. FC Andorra's recent form includes one win, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Varea ↓ / FC Andorra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Varea and FC Andorra expected goals

Varea 1.19
FC Andorra 1.68

Total expected goals: 2.88

Varea and FC Andorra attack and defence ratings

Varea

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

FC Andorra

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Varea vs FC Andorra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Andorra 47.6% 2.10 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.4% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Varea26.0%
Draw26.3%
FC Andorra47.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.9%
Under 2.545.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.9%
No42.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.4%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)74.0%
Handicap -1FC Andorra win26.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss52.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-29.5%
0-18.3%
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Varea vs FC Andorra stats

Varea and FC Andorra recent form

newest first
Varea no matches on record
FC Andorra WDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Varea vs FC Andorra head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Varea vs FC Andorra odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

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Prediction snapshot 2 FC Andorra Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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