Segunda División · ·Matchday 12

Tenerife vs FC Andorra

Garuda Lions Prediction: Tenerife

1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.03.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tenerife 47%
Draw 28%
FC Andorra 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Tenerife wins
47%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
51%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

Tenerife vs FC Andorra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tenerife vs FC Andorra

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTenerifeDrawFC Andorra
Model47.3%28.3%24.4%
Market———
Final47.3%28.3%24.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Tenerife

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.03.

Tenerife vs FC Andorra match preview

Tenerife faces FC Andorra in the Segunda División with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Tenerife holds a 47% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 28% and FC Andorra at 24%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Tenerife, occurring with an 11% probability. Expected goals are calculated at 1.51 for Tenerife and 1.03 for FC Andorra.

In terms of recent form, Tenerife has recorded three draws, two losses, and one win in their last six matches. Conversely, FC Andorra has experienced one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 47%, and both teams are expected to score with a 51% likelihood, indicating a competitive matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tenerife ↓ / FC Andorra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 11% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Tenerife and FC Andorra expected goals

Tenerife 1.51
FC Andorra 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.54

Tenerife and FC Andorra attack and defence ratings

Tenerife

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.01 +1%

FC Andorra

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Tenerife vs FC Andorra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tenerife 47.3% 2.11 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tenerife47.3%
Draw28.3%
FC Andorra24.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes51.2%
No48.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.6%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)52.7%
Handicap -1Tenerife win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-010.7%
2-19.3%

Tenerife vs FC Andorra stats

Tenerife and FC Andorra recent form

newest first
Tenerife DDDLDL
FC Andorra LWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tenerife and FC Andorra season so far

league record

Tenerife record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

FC Andorra record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

Tenerife vs FC Andorra head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Tenerife vs FC Andorra odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Tenerife Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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