Almeria
vs
FC Andorra
Garuda Lions Prediction: Almeria
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.92.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Almeria vs FC Andorra overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almeria vs FC Andorra
| Probability | Almeria | Draw | FC Andorra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.3% | 21.0% | 13.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.3% | 21.0% | 13.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Almeria
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Almeria vs FC Andorra match preview
Almeria enters this match against FC Andorra with a strong probability of winning at 65%, reflecting their recent form of three wins and two draws in the last six matches. The expected goals for Almeria stands at 2.25, suggesting a solid offensive performance, while FC Andorra is projected to score only 0.99 goals. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%.
FC Andorra has had a mixed recent run, with two wins and three draws in their last six matches. Historical performance also favors Almeria, who has won both of their previous encounters against FC Andorra, with no draws or losses recorded. The probabilities indicate a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring, highlighting potential for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Almeria and FC Andorra expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Almeria and FC Andorra attack and defence ratings
Almeria
FC Andorra
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Almeria vs FC Andorra markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almeria | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Almeria win | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almeria | 65.3% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| FC Andorra | 13.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% |
| No | 45.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almeria win | 42.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 34.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
Almeria vs FC Andorra stats
Almeria and FC Andorra recent form
| Almeria |
WDWDWW |
| FC Andorra |
DWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almeria and FC Andorra season so far
Almeria record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Andorra record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Almeria vs FC Andorra head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Almeria | FC Andorra | Segunda División | 3-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | FC Andorra | Almeria | Segunda División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.