Mallorca
vs
Cordoba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mallorca
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Mallorca is the favourite, not a value bet.
Mallorca vs Cordoba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mallorca vs Cordoba
| Probability | Mallorca | Draw | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.9% | 27.0% | 21.1% |
| Market | 55.6% | 23.4% | 21.0% |
| Final | 54.7% | 24.3% | 21.0% |
| Edge | -0.9% | +0.9% | +0.0% |
Why Mallorca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.96.
Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.9% per unit staked (our 54.7% × 1.72 − 1).
Mallorca vs Cordoba match preview
Mallorca enters this match against Cordoba with a probability of winning set at 56%, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 24% and Cordoba's chances are at 20%. The expected goals for Mallorca are 1.63, compared to Cordoba's 0.96, suggesting a potential advantage for the home side. Our model predicts the most likely scoreline to be 1-0, occurring with an 11% probability.
In terms of recent form, Mallorca has recorded a sequence of results including two draws, a win, and a loss, while Cordoba has experienced a mix of wins and losses, with two victories in their last five matches. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 48%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 51%, indicating a balanced contest with a slight edge towards Mallorca.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mallorca and Cordoba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Mallorca and Cordoba attack and defence ratings
Mallorca
Cordoba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mallorca vs Cordoba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 54.7% | 1.83 | -0.9% | 1.72 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 54.7% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Cordoba | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mallorca win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 48.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Mallorca vs Cordoba stats
Mallorca and Cordoba recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mallorca and Cordoba season so far
Mallorca record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Cordoba record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mallorca vs Cordoba head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Mallorca vs Cordoba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 23.4%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 4.28 | 4.54 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 4.15 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.17 | 4.45 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.55 | 4.02 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .