Alcoyano
vs
Mallorca
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mallorca
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Alcoyano vs Mallorca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alcoyano vs Mallorca
| Probability | Alcoyano | Draw | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.5% | 27.3% | 57.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.5% | 27.3% | 57.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mallorca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.71.
Alcoyano vs Mallorca match preview
Alcoyano faces Mallorca in the Copa del Rey with a projected win probability of 16% for Alcoyano, 27% for a draw, and 57% for Mallorca, according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which has a 15% probability. Expected goals suggest Alcoyano will score 0.71, while Mallorca is expected to net 1.59.
Mallorca's recent form shows a mix of results, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 40%, and there is a 42% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions provided.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alcoyano and Mallorca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Alcoyano and Mallorca attack and defence ratings
Alcoyano
Mallorca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
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- Badajoz v Tenerife — match page
- Covadonga vs Real Valladolid — team news & stats
- Trival Valderas v Leganes — match page
- Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete — team news & stats
- Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén
- Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD Ourense — match page
Before and after this match
Alcoyano vs Mallorca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alcoyano | 15.5% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Mallorca | 57.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mallorca win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-2 | 12.6% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
Alcoyano vs Mallorca stats
Alcoyano and Mallorca recent form
| Alcoyano | no matches on record |
| Mallorca |
WDLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.