Celta de Vigo II
vs
Cordoba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cordoba
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Cordoba is the favourite, not a value bet.
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba
| Probability | Celta de Vigo II | Draw | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 23.9% | 37.2% |
| Market | 28.7% | 25.6% | 45.6% |
| Final | 31.3% | 25.2% | 43.5% |
| Edge | +2.6% | -0.4% | -2.1% |
Why Cordoba
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.6% per unit staked (our 43.5% × 2.10 − 1).
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba match preview
Celta de Vigo II faces Cordoba in a Segunda División match with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 31% for Celta de Vigo II to win, 25% for a draw, and 44% for a Cordoba victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at an 8% probability. The expected goals are 1.80 for Celta de Vigo II and 1.76 for Cordoba, indicating a closely contested match.
In terms of recent form, Celta de Vigo II has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Cordoba has shown stronger performance with four wins and two losses in the same timeframe. Our model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 70%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta de Vigo II and Cordoba expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Celta de Vigo II and Cordoba attack and defence ratings
Celta de Vigo II
Cordoba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cordoba | 43.5% | 2.30 | -2.1% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta de Vigo II | 31.3% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Cordoba | 43.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.0% |
| No | 30.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cordoba win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba stats
Celta de Vigo II and Cordoba recent form
| Celta de Vigo II |
LDWLDL |
| Cordoba |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta de Vigo II and Cordoba season so far
Celta de Vigo II record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cordoba record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 25.6%, away 45.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.34 | 3.80 | 2.08 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.65 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.68 | 2.02 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32 | 3.70 | 2.09 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .