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Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba

3 – 1 Full time

30′I. Sanz
32′S. El Jebari
46′G. RoqueF. Rivera
46′F. GomezA. Martinez
51′F. Jose Perdomo BorgesA. Perera
56′I. Munoz
64′I. Villoslada
65′Guilherme Fernandes
65′I. Sanz
65′R. Alves
68′M. Vilaplana Dachs
69′I. MunozM. Cedres Batista
73′S. El JebariD. Bri
76′A. Perera
79′I. Villoslada
80′I. VillosladaE. Castano
80′V. SanchezC. Carracedo
80′E. RodriguezA. Ghailan
90′C. Albarran
90′C. Carracedo
90′A. Perera

Estadio Futbol El Paso, El Paso

Atlético Paso 17%
Draw 23%
Cordoba 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético Paso vs Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlético PasoDrawCordoba
Model22.6%26.7%50.7%
Market15.4%21.9%62.7%
Final17.2%23.1%59.7%
Edge+1.8%+1.2%-3.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cordoba

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlético Paso ↓ / Cordoba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Atlético Paso and Cordoba expected goals

Atlético Paso 1.03
Cordoba 1.67

Total expected goals: 2.71

Atlético Paso and Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Atlético Paso

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Cordoba

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba: result vs prediction

Atlético Paso 3 – 1 Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cordoba 59.7% 1.68 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.86 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.8% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlético Paso17.2%
Draw23.1%
Cordoba59.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.3%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)82.8%
Handicap -1Cordoba win28.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss48.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
0-110.0%
1-29.6%

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba stats

Atlético Paso and Cordoba recent form

newest first
Atlético Paso L
Cordoba WWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.4%, draw 21.9%, away 62.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.27 4.25 1.48
Bet365 5.75 4.50 1.48
BetVictor 6.00 4.20 1.45
Betano 5.50 4.20 1.50
Betfair 6.50 4.50 1.44
Dafabet 6.00 4.60 1.52
Marathonbet 6.25 4.25 1.47
Pinnacle 5.31 4.19 1.51
SBO 5.51 3.91 1.41
William Hill 6.00 4.00 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.00 ▼ -0.30
X 4.22 ▼ -0.18
2 1.48 ▲ +0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .