Copa del Rey · ·Round of 128

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba

Garuda Lions Prediction: Cordoba

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Atlético Paso 26%
Draw 27%
Cordoba 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Cordoba wins
47%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético Paso vs Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlético PasoDrawCordoba
Model25.9%27.1%47.0%
Market———
Final25.9%27.1%47.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Cordoba

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba match preview

In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Atlético Paso faces Cordoba with a kickoff scheduled for October 27, 2026. According to our model, Atlético Paso has a 28% probability of winning, while Cordoba stands at 46%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams show a tendency for scoring, with a 60% chance of both teams finding the net.

Recent form indicates that Atlético Paso is struggling, having lost their last match, while Cordoba has alternated between wins and losses in their recent outings. The expected goals for Atlético Paso is 1.27, compared to Cordoba's 1.69, suggesting a competitive match ahead. Additionally, there is a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlético Paso ↓ / Cordoba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Atlético Paso and Cordoba expected goals

Atlético Paso 1.14
Cordoba 1.61

Total expected goals: 2.75

Atlético Paso and Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Atlético Paso

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Cordoba

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cordoba 47.0% 2.13 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlético Paso25.9%
Draw27.1%
Cordoba47.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%
Both teams to scoreYes55.7%
No44.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.0%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)74.1%
Handicap -1Cordoba win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-29.4%
0-19.1%

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba stats

Atlético Paso and Cordoba recent form

newest first
Atlético Paso L
Cordoba WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Atlético Paso vs Cordoba odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Cordoba Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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