Segunda División · ·Matchday 11

Cordoba vs Eibar

Garuda Lions Prediction: Eibar

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Cordoba 26%
Draw 23%
Eibar 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Eibar wins
51%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
68%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Cordoba vs Eibar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cordoba vs Eibar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCordobaDrawEibar
Model26.0%23.0%51.0%
Market———
Final26.0%23.0%51.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Eibar

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.45.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Cordoba vs Eibar match preview

Cordoba faces Eibar in the Segunda División on October 24, 2026, with a kickoff at 12:00 UTC. According to our model, Eibar holds a 51% probability of winning, while Cordoba has a 26% chance, and a draw stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with expected goals of 1.45 for Cordoba and 2.07 for Eibar.

Recent form shows Cordoba with a mixed record of W-L-W-L-W-L, while Eibar has been in strong form, winning their last six matches. Both teams are expected to score, with a 68% probability for both teams to find the net and a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cordoba ↓ / Eibar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 5% 2 6% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Cordoba and Eibar expected goals

Cordoba 1.45
Eibar 2.07

Total expected goals: 3.52

Cordoba and Eibar attack and defence ratings

Cordoba

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Eibar

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Cordoba vs Eibar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Eibar 51.0% 1.96 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.8% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.0% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cordoba26.0%
Draw23.0%
Eibar51.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.3%
Under 2.531.7%
Both teams to scoreYes67.8%
No32.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.0%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)74.0%
Handicap -1Eibar win30.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss49.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
1-29.2%
2-26.7%

Cordoba vs Eibar stats

Cordoba and Eibar recent form

newest first
Cordoba WLWLWL
Eibar LWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cordoba and Eibar season so far

league record

Cordoba record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Eibar record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cordoba vs Eibar head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Cordoba wins 1Draws 1Eibar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24EibarCordobaSegunda División2-0
2025-12-13CordobaEibarSegunda División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cordoba vs Eibar odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Eibar Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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