Leganes
vs
Mallorca
1 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | Ismael Gharbi | ||
| 34′ | Zito Luvumbo | ||
| 43′ | Rubén Pulido | ||
| 49′ | Antonio Sánchez | ||
| 52′ | Luis García Fernández | ||
| 54′ | Alex Sala | ||
| 54′ | Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez | ||
| 57′ | Álex Millán | ||
| 61′ | Arnau Tenas | ||
| 62′ | Dani Rodriguez | ||
| 62′ | Pablo TorreSergi Darder | ||
| 66′ | Ismael GharbiZico Buurmeester | ||
| 73′ | Álex MillánUnax del Cura | ||
| 73′ | Dani RodriguezNaim Garcia | ||
| 75′ | Alberto MorenoAntonio Latorre Grueso | ||
| 80′ | Patrick SokoAndres Campos | ||
| 80′ | Amadou DiawaraYassine Kechta | ||
| 87′ | Zito LuvumboJustin Kalumba | ||
| 87′ | Adrian LisoGuille Fernández | ||
| 90′ | Antonio Latorre Grueso |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 330 | Accurate passes | 294 |
Leganes vs Mallorca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leganes vs Mallorca
| Probability | Leganes | Draw | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.9% | 31.0% | 56.1% |
| Market | 29.3% | 29.8% | 40.8% |
| Final | 25.2% | 30.1% | 44.6% |
| Edge | -4.1% | +0.3% | +3.8% |
Why Mallorca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Mallorca below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leganes and Mallorca expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Leganes and Mallorca attack and defence ratings
Leganes
Mallorca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leganes vs Mallorca: result vs prediction
Leganes 1 – 1 Mallorca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leganes vs Mallorca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 44.6% | 2.24 | +3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leganes | 25.2% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Mallorca | 44.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.6% |
| No | 70.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mallorca win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.3% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 20.5% |
| 0-0 | 17.4% | |
| 0-2 | 14.1% |
Leganes vs Mallorca stats
Leganes and Mallorca recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leganes and Mallorca going into this match
Leganes record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mallorca record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Leganes vs Mallorca head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | Mallorca | Leganes | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Leganes | Mallorca | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-04-01 | Mallorca | Leganes | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2020-12-12 | Leganes | Mallorca | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2020-06-19 | Mallorca | Leganes | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2019-10-26 | Leganes | Mallorca | La Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leganes vs Mallorca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.3%, draw 29.8%, away 40.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26 | 3.26 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.36 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.16 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 3.15 | 2.40 |
| SBO | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2.13 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .