Girona
vs
Castellón
1 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz | ||
| 14′ | Bryan GilCarles Pérez | ||
| 45′ | Abel Ruíz | ||
| 45′ | Lucas AlcázarJeremy Mellot | ||
| 52′ | Abel Ruíz | ||
| 56′ | rodrigo regoÍñigo Córdoba | ||
| 56′ | Juanjo NietoHamza Bellari | ||
| 57′ | Yaser AsprillaJavier Boñar | ||
| 57′ | Vladyslav VanatOleksandr Pyshchur | ||
| 67′ | Diego BarriAdam Jakobsen | ||
| 73′ | Carles Pérez | ||
| 76′ | Alberto Jiménez | ||
| 77′ | Francisco CastilloÁlvaro García Arana | ||
| 81′ | Agustín Sienra | ||
| 82′ | Alejandro FrancésIván Morante | ||
| 82′ | Carles PérezAbdul Mumin | ||
| 86′ | Álvaro García Arana | ||
| 88′ | Matías Orozco | ||
| 90′ | Izan González | ||
| 90′ | Oleksandr Pyshchur |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 4 | Corners | 11 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 7 | Saves | 4 |
| 272 | Accurate passes | 461 |
Girona vs Castellón overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Girona vs Castellón
| Probability | Girona | Draw | Castellón |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 29.7% | 33.6% |
| Market | 42.4% | 27.5% | 30.1% |
| Final | 41.0% | 28.0% | 31.0% |
| Edge | -5.7% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Girona and Castellón expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Girona and Castellón attack and defence ratings
Girona
Castellón
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Girona vs Castellón: result vs prediction
Girona 1 – 2 Castellón
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Girona vs Castellón markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 41.0% | 2.44 | -5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 41.0% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Castellón | 31.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Girona win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Girona vs Castellón stats
Girona vs Castellón head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Girona | Castellón | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2021-02-21 | Girona | Castellón | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-24 | Castellón | Girona | Segunda División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Girona vs Castellón odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 27.8%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.46 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.36 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.47 | 3.32 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.28 | 2.86 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .