Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 4

Sporting Gijon vs Girona

0 – 2 Full time

27′Y. Asprilla
29′David López
34′César Gelabert
46′K. de la FuenteA. Sarco
46′V. VanatO. Pyshchur
48′Álex Moreno
54′Fran Beltrán
67′F. BeltranI. Morante
68′Y. AsprillaC. Perez
70′N. IosifovP. Garcia
70′C. Gelabert PinaM. Loum
70′N. MartinA. Casas
76′C. Perez
78′D. LopezA. Mumin
79′A. RuizJ. Bonar
82′J. OteroB. Rubio

El Molinón, GijonReferee: Salvador Lax Franco, Spain

Sporting Gijon 37%
Draw 28%
Girona 35%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
60 Possession % 40
4 Corners 0
7 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
1 Saves 5
482 Accurate passes 306

Sporting Gijon vs Girona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Gijon vs Girona

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySporting GijonDrawGirona
Model50.1%26.1%23.8%
Market32.2%28.7%39.1%
Final36.7%28.1%35.3%
Edge+17.9%-2.7%-15.3%

Confidence: Medium

Why Sporting Gijon

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.13.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sporting Gijon below the model: +17.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sporting Gijon ↓ / Girona → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Sporting Gijon and Girona expected goals

Sporting Gijon 1.72
Girona 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.85

Sporting Gijon and Girona attack and defence ratings

Sporting Gijon

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Girona

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sporting Gijon vs Girona: result vs prediction

Sporting Gijon 0 – 2 Girona

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Sporting Gijon vs Girona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sporting Gijon 36.7% 2.73 +17.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.2% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.9% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sporting Gijon36.7%
Draw28.1%
Girona35.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.7%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)63.3%
Handicap -1Sporting Gijon win27.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss49.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
2-19.7%
1-08.8%

Sporting Gijon vs Girona stats

Sporting Gijon and Girona recent form

newest first
Sporting Gijon WWDWWW
Girona WLDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sporting Gijon vs Girona head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Sporting Gijon wins 2Draws 1Girona wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-05-15Sporting GijonGironaSegunda División2-1
2021-09-03GironaSporting GijonSegunda División1-2
2021-05-17GironaSporting GijonSegunda División1-0
2020-09-26Sporting GijonGironaSegunda División2-0
2020-07-06Sporting GijonGironaSegunda División0-0
2019-08-18GironaSporting GijonSegunda División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sporting Gijon vs Girona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 28.8%, away 39.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.78 3.20 2.52
1xBet 2.99 3.34 2.45
Bet365 2.90 3.25 2.40
BetVictor 2.80 3.25 2.30
Betano 3.00 3.10 2.52
Betfair 2.75 3.30 2.30
Dafabet 2.90 3.35 2.47
Marathonbet 2.90 3.25 2.38
Pinnacle 3.02 3.36 2.48
SBO 2.62 3.00 2.30
Superbet 2.90 3.30 2.47
Unibet 2.75 3.20 2.33
William Hill 2.88 3.10 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▲ +0.09
X 3.25 —
2 2.39 ▼ -0.05

9 snapshots recorded, from .