Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 4

Castellón vs Albacete

2 – 0 Full time

45′Íñigo Córdoba
45′Agustin Medina DelgadoAgustin Albarracin Basil
45′Javi VillarAntonio Pacheco Ruiz
56′Ousmane Camara
57′Íñigo Córdobarodrigo rego
57′Pablo SantiagoIsrael Suero Fernández
62′Israel Suero Fernández
63′Lorenzo Aguado HerreraÁlex Rubio Roldán
67′Diego BarriMatías Orozco
77′Mario Soberon GutierrezHiginio Marín
77′Sergio Ortuno DiazAntonio David Moreno
83′Juanjo NietoRaúl Sánchez
83′Francisco CastilloJari Vlak
90′Fran Gámez

Estadio Municipal Castalia, CastellonReferee: German Cid Camacho, Spain

Castellón 58%
Draw 24%
Albacete 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
66 Possession % 34
7 Corners 3
5 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 5
605 Accurate passes 269

Castellón vs Albacete overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Castellón vs Albacete

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCastellónDrawAlbacete
Model51.4%27.0%21.7%
Market60.6%22.7%16.7%
Final58.3%23.7%17.9%
Edge-9.3%+4.3%+5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Castellón

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Castellón ↓ / Albacete → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Castellón and Albacete expected goals

Castellón 1.64
Albacete 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.63

Castellón and Albacete attack and defence ratings

Castellón

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Albacete

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Castellón vs Albacete: result vs prediction

Castellón 2 – 0 Albacete

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Castellón vs Albacete markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Castellón 58.3% 1.71 -9.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.1% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.6% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Castellón58.3%
Draw23.7%
Albacete17.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.9%
Under 2.551.1%
Both teams to scoreYes51.8%
No48.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.1%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)41.7%
Handicap -1Castellón win28.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss48.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-010.7%
2-09.7%

Castellón vs Albacete stats

Castellón and Albacete recent form

newest first
Castellón WDWLDW
Albacete LLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Castellón vs Albacete head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Castellón wins 4Draws 4Albacete wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-28AlbaceteCastellónSegunda División1-1
2025-10-19CastellónAlbaceteSegunda División0-1
2025-04-04CastellónAlbaceteSegunda División2-2
2024-12-08AlbaceteCastellónSegunda División0-0
2023-08-06CastellónAlbaceteFriendlies Clubs2-6
2022-04-17CastellónAlbacetePrimera División RFEF - Group 20-0
2021-08-28AlbaceteCastellónPrimera División RFEF - Group 23-1
2021-08-14AlbaceteCastellónFriendlies Clubs1-0
2021-03-31AlbaceteCastellónSegunda División0-1
2020-12-12CastellónAlbaceteSegunda División3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Castellón vs Albacete odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.3%, draw 22.8%, away 16.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.56 4.00 5.60
1xBet 1.57 4.32 5.71
Bet365 1.55 4.10 5.75
BetVictor 1.50 4.10 5.25
Betano 1.60 4.10 5.60
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.00
Dafabet 1.56 4.30 5.60
Marathonbet 1.53 4.20 5.55
Pinnacle 1.58 4.25 5.90
SBO 1.51 3.72 4.70
Superbet 1.57 4.25 5.55
Unibet 1.47 4.10 5.50
William Hill 1.55 3.80 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.55 ▼ -0.04
X 4.15 ▲ +0.18
2 5.63 ▲ +0.43

12 snapshots recorded, from .