Celta de Vigo II
vs
Castellón
1 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | F. Castillo | ||
| 46′ | A. AntanonH. Burcio | ||
| 46′ | P. MeixusA. Kibet | ||
| 48′ | P. Santiago | ||
| 54′ | Ousmane Camara | ||
| 59′ | Francisco Castillo | ||
| 64′ | I. CordobaR. Sanchez | ||
| 65′ | A. CapdevilaH. F. Cuenca Martinez | ||
| 65′ | A. MarinB. Somuah | ||
| 65′ | Juanjo NietoL. Alcazar | ||
| 65′ | F. CastilloA. Gala | ||
| 74′ | Joel López Salguero | ||
| 79′ | O. Marcos | ||
| 80′ | P. SantiagoR. Rego | ||
| 82′ | O. MarcosA. Davila | ||
| 90′ | Álvaro Martín | ||
| 90′ | BarriJ. Vlak |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 353 | Accurate passes | 439 |
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón
| Probability | Celta de Vigo II | Draw | Castellón |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 28.6% | 29.0% |
| Market | 22.9% | 25.0% | 52.1% |
| Final | 27.7% | 25.9% | 46.3% |
| Edge | +19.5% | +3.6% | -23.1% |
Why Castellón
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta de Vigo II and Castellón expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Celta de Vigo II and Castellón attack and defence ratings
Celta de Vigo II
Castellón
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón: result vs prediction
Celta de Vigo II 1 – 2 Castellón
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Castellón | 46.3% | 2.16 | -23.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta de Vigo II | 27.7% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Castellón | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Castellón win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 71.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón stats
Celta de Vigo II and Castellón recent form
| Celta de Vigo II |
WD |
| Castellón |
DWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.9%, draw 25.0%, away 52.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.81 |
| 1xBet | 4.22 | 3.96 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.15 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.81 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 3.85 | 1.76 |
| Pinnacle | 4.23 | 4.01 | 1.82 |
| SBO | 3.83 | 3.53 | 1.78 |
| Superbet | 4.15 | 3.80 | 1.82 |
| Unibet | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.73 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .