Leganes
vs
Eldense
1 – 0 Full time
Leganes vs Eldense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leganes vs Eldense
| Probability | Leganes | Draw | Eldense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 30.3% | 33.7% |
| Market | 48.8% | 26.8% | 24.4% |
| Final | 45.7% | 27.7% | 26.7% |
| Edge | -12.8% | +3.5% | +9.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leganes and Eldense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Leganes and Eldense attack and defence ratings
Leganes
Eldense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leganes vs Eldense: result vs prediction
Leganes 1 – 0 Eldense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leganes vs Eldense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leganes | 45.7% | 2.19 | -12.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leganes | 45.7% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Eldense | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leganes win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Leganes vs Eldense stats
Leganes vs Eldense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Eldense | Leganes | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-10 | Leganes | Eldense | Segunda División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leganes vs Eldense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 26.8%, away 24.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.92 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.64 | 4.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.54 | 3.96 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.65 | 4.08 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.02 | 3.28 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.50 | 3.85 |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 3.15 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .