Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 4

Sabadell vs Cordoba

3 – 2 Full time

7′Nicholas Gioacchini
11′Nicholas Gioacchini
26′Cristian Carracedo
45′Rubén González AlvesJuan Gutiérrez
45′Eder GarciaEnol Rodríguez Heres
52′Albert Orriols Cerarols
54′José Luis CatalàÁngel Baena
54′Álex Martín
66′Youssouf DiarraAdnane Ghailan Benktib
66′Daniel BudescaCarlos Albarran
72′Nicholas GioacchiniYanis Rahmani
72′Joel PriegoNikolay Obolskiy
74′Diego Briibai sanz
76′Enol Rodríguez Heres
82′Adnane Ghailan Benktib
82′Ton RipollPipa
82′Pere PonsEneko Aguilar
85′Edgar Gonzalez
88′Cristian Carracedo
89′Albert Orriols Cerarols

Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, SabadellReferee: Juan Gordillo, Spain

Sabadell 46%
Draw 29%
Cordoba 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 4
41 Possession % 59
3 Corners 5
20 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 6
142 Accurate passes 346

Sabadell vs Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sabadell vs Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySabadellDrawCordoba
Model44.9%31.4%23.7%
Market45.8%28.1%26.1%
Final45.6%28.9%25.5%
Edge-0.9%+3.3%-2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Sabadell

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sabadell ↓ / Cordoba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Sabadell and Cordoba expected goals

Sabadell 1.28
Cordoba 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.13

Sabadell and Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Sabadell

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Cordoba

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sabadell vs Cordoba: result vs prediction

Sabadell 3 – 2 Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Sabadell vs Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sabadell 45.6% 2.19 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.1% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sabadell45.6%
Draw28.9%
Cordoba25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.9%
Under 2.564.1%
Both teams to scoreYes42.8%
No57.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)54.4%
Handicap -1Sabadell win21.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss55.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-013.8%
0-013.1%

Sabadell vs Cordoba stats

Sabadell and Cordoba recent form

newest first
Sabadell WDDLW
Cordoba LWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Sabadell vs Cordoba head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sabadell vs Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 28.1%, away 26.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.12 3.35 3.35
1xBet 2.05 3.46 3.78
Bet365 2.00 3.40 3.70
BetVictor 1.95 3.30 3.60
Betano 2.07 3.35 3.70
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.25
Dafabet 2.10 3.35 3.65
Marathonbet 1.99 3.36 3.68
Pinnacle 2.05 3.47 3.87
SBO 2.03 3.16 3.33
Superbet 2.10 3.35 3.60
Unibet 2.07 3.15 3.25
William Hill 2.00 3.10 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.17
X 3.35 ▲ +0.15
2 3.60 ▲ +0.34

14 snapshots recorded, from .