Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 7

Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon

2 – 0 Full time

8′Chris Ramos
12′Chris RamosAlberto Reina
18′Guillermo Rosas
18′Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva
39′Pablo Vázquez
45′Nikita IosifovPablo García
63′Jacobo González
65′Pablo VázquezAlejo Sarco
65′Antonio Manuel Casas MarinGaspar Campos
66′Álex Corredera
66′Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón
71′Jacobo GonzálezVíctor García Mingo
71′Daniel VillahermosaAritz Aldasoro
73′Manuel Rodríguez PazMamadou Loum
73′Guillermo RosasIker Martinez Martinez
74′Dani Calvo
74′Aimar Duñabeitia
76′César Gelabert
76′Rubén Yáñez
77′David JimenezAisar Ahmed
77′Samuel Rodríguez de la RivaEnzo Pérez Miranda
82′Enzo Pérez Miranda
89′Andres Cuenca
90′Aisar Ahmed

Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, OviedoReferee: Andres Fuentes Molina

Real Oviedo 41%
Draw 31%
Sporting Gijon 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
5 Corners 4
7 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 4
290 Accurate passes 324

Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal OviedoDrawSporting Gijon
Model25.9%34.9%39.2%
Market45.7%30.2%24.0%
Final40.8%31.4%27.8%
Edge-19.8%+4.6%+15.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Oviedo ↓ / Sporting Gijon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 15% 1 11% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Real Oviedo and Sporting Gijon expected goals

Real Oviedo 0.79
Sporting Gijon 1.04

Total expected goals: 1.83

Real Oviedo and Sporting Gijon attack and defence ratings

Real Oviedo

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Sporting Gijon

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon: result vs prediction

Real Oviedo 2 – 0 Sporting Gijon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Oviedo 40.8% 2.45 -19.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.4% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 63.4% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.1% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Oviedo40.8%
Draw31.4%
Sporting Gijon27.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.6%
Under 2.572.4%
Both teams to scoreYes36.6%
No63.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.2%
12 (either side)68.6%
X2 (draw or away)59.2%
Handicap -1Real Oviedo win8.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss74.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.4%
0-115.4%
1-114.5%

Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon stats

Real Oviedo and Sporting Gijon recent form

newest first
Real Oviedo LWDWLD
Sporting Gijon WLLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Oviedo and Sporting Gijon going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Oviedo record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Sporting Gijon record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Real Oviedo wins 4Draws 2Sporting Gijon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-11Real OviedoSporting GijonSegunda División1-1
2024-09-07Sporting GijonReal OviedoSegunda División3-1
2024-02-10Sporting GijonReal OviedoSegunda División1-0
2023-09-09Real OviedoSporting GijonSegunda División0-0
2023-05-13Sporting GijonReal OviedoSegunda División1-1
2022-12-17Real OviedoSporting GijonSegunda División1-0
2022-04-16Sporting GijonReal OviedoSegunda División0-1
2021-10-09Real OviedoSporting GijonSegunda División1-1
2021-04-17Sporting GijonReal OviedoSegunda División0-1
2020-10-11Real OviedoSporting GijonSegunda División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 30.2%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.06 3.24 4.02
Bet365 2.05 3.10 3.90
BetVictor 2.00 3.10 3.70
Betano 2.10 3.05 4.10
Betfair 1.95 3.00 3.60
Marathonbet 2.00 3.14 3.90
Pinnacle 2.10 3.16 4.16
SBO 2.05 3.00 3.48
William Hill 2.00 2.90 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.06
X 3.10 ▼ -0.10
2 3.90 ▼ -0.08

14 snapshots recorded, from .