Segunda División
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Real Oviedo
vs
Eibar
3 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Mikel Goti Lopez | ||
| 12′ | Unai Elgezabal Udondo | ||
| 21′ | David Jimenez | ||
| 42′ | Anaitz Arbilla | ||
| 45′ | Carlos Dominguez | ||
| 45′ | Unai Elgezabal UdondoPeru Nolaskoain | ||
| 53′ | Carlos Dominguez | ||
| 59′ | Jon MagunazelaiaIván Gil | ||
| 59′ | jon guruzetaPejiño | ||
| 65′ | Víctor García MingoJosé Luis Morales | ||
| 65′ | David JimenezNacho Vidal | ||
| 65′ | Youness Lachhab DidiDaniel Villahermosa | ||
| 72′ | Enzo Pérez MirandaPablo Saenz | ||
| 72′ | Malcom AresJavier Martón Ansó | ||
| 74′ | Iván Gil | ||
| 79′ | Dani Calvo | ||
| 81′ | Ander Madariaga SusaetaLucas Nuñez Ramirez | ||
| 83′ | Mikel Goti LopezDavid Costas | ||
| 85′ | Carlos Dominguez | ||
| 90′ | Daniel Villahermosa | ||
| 90′ | Juan Bernat |
Real Oviedo
34%
Draw
29%
Eibar
37%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 245 | Accurate passes | 380 |
Real Oviedo vs Eibar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oviedo vs Eibar
| Probability | Real Oviedo | Draw | Eibar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.0% | 24.8% | 58.2% |
| Market | 39.6% | 29.8% | 30.6% |
| Final | 33.9% | 28.6% | 37.5% |
| Edge | -5.7% | -1.3% | +6.9% |
Why Eibar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Eibar below our published probability: +6.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Real Oviedo and Eibar expected goals
Real Oviedo
0.89
Eibar
1.82
Total expected goals: 2.71
Real Oviedo and Eibar attack and defence ratings
Real Oviedo
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Eibar
Attack
1.50 +50%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Oviedo vs Eibar: result vs prediction
Real Oviedo 3 – 1 Eibar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Oviedo vs Eibar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eibar | 37.5% | 2.67 | +6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Oviedo | 33.9% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Eibar | 37.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eibar win | 34.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 41.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 0-2 | 11.0% | |
| 0-1 | 11.0% |
Real Oviedo vs Eibar stats
Real Oviedo and Eibar recent form
| Real Oviedo |
LWLWDW |
| Eibar |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Oviedo and Eibar going into this match
Real Oviedo record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Eibar record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Oviedo vs Eibar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Real Oviedo wins
5Draws
2Eibar wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Eibar | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Real Oviedo | Eibar | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2024-06-12 | Eibar | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 0-2 |
| 2024-06-08 | Real Oviedo | Eibar | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-02 | Eibar | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 4-3 |
| 2023-11-19 | Real Oviedo | Eibar | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Real Oviedo | Eibar | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-11 | Eibar | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-23 | Real Oviedo | Eibar | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2022-01-10 | Real Oviedo | Eibar | Segunda División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Oviedo vs Eibar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 29.8%, away 30.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.18 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 2.88 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.08 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 2.84 | 2.86 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.33 ▲ +0.03
X
3.10 ▼ -0.02
2
3.02 ▼ -0.12
15 snapshots recorded, from .