Real Oviedo
vs
Eibar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Oviedo
1 – 0 Predicted score · 5% model probability
Real Oviedo vs Eibar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oviedo vs Eibar
| Probability | Real Oviedo | Draw | Eibar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.7% | 24.6% | 58.7% |
| Market | 43.6% | 29.1% | 27.3% |
| Final | 36.9% | 28.0% | 35.1% |
| Edge | -26.9% | -4.5% | +31.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Real Oviedo vs Eibar match preview
Real Oviedo faces Eibar in an upcoming Segunda División match, with probabilities indicating a 37% chance for a Real Oviedo win, a 28% chance for a draw, and a 35% chance for an Eibar victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Real Oviedo, occurring at a 5% likelihood. The expected goals for Real Oviedo stand at 0.89, while Eibar is projected at 1.84.
In terms of recent form, Real Oviedo has recorded a sequence of results including two wins, a draw, and two losses, while Eibar has been in excellent form, winning their last six matches. Both teams have a 51% probability of scoring, and there is also a 51% chance for over 2.5 goals in the match, indicating potential for an engaging contest.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Oviedo and Eibar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Real Oviedo and Eibar attack and defence ratings
Real Oviedo
Eibar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Oviedo vs Eibar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Oviedo | 36.9% | 2.71 | -26.9% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Oviedo | 36.9% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Eibar | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Oviedo win | 5.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.0% | |
| Loss | 83.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 0-2 | 11.1% | |
| 0-1 | 11.0% |
Real Oviedo vs Eibar stats
Real Oviedo and Eibar recent form
| Real Oviedo |
LWLWDW |
| Eibar |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Oviedo and Eibar season so far
Real Oviedo record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Eibar record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Oviedo vs Eibar head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Real Oviedo vs Eibar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 29.1%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.20 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.13 | 3.59 |
| SBO | 2.13 | 2.87 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .