Garuda Lions
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Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Cieza vs Granada

0 – 3 Full time

10′D. Hormigo
12′C. Onouha
17′D. Hormigo
57′N. CalderoDawda
58′M. CasadevallD. Pujante
58′D. RodriguezS. Garcia
58′E. Nwenyi
61′B. Gimber
62′P. CasadesusJ. Pascual
62′C. OnouhaG. Gumbau
62′K. BambaS. Lopez
66′A. HidalgoJ. Vera
71′M. Jimenez GambinA. Garcia
73′D. Varela Pampin
78′PituH. Bernal
82′D. RodriguezM. Maza
84′J. Pascual
89′S. Lopez
90′J. Vera

Estadio La Arboleja, Cieza

Cieza 18%
Draw 24%
Granada 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cieza vs Granada overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cieza vs Granada

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCiezaDrawGranada
Model20.1%27.9%52.0%
Market16.9%22.1%61.0%
Final17.7%23.5%58.8%
Edge+0.8%+1.5%-2.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Granada

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cieza ↓ / Granada → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 13% 11% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Cieza and Granada expected goals

Cieza 0.87
Granada 1.58

Total expected goals: 2.44

Cieza and Granada attack and defence ratings

Cieza

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Granada

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cieza vs Granada: result vs prediction

Cieza 0 – 3 Granada

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Cieza vs Granada markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Granada 58.8% 1.70 -2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.3% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.1% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cieza17.7%
Draw23.5%
Granada58.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
Both teams to scoreYes47.4%
No52.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.2%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)82.3%
Handicap -1Granada win28.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss47.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-112.4%
0-210.6%

Cieza vs Granada stats

Cieza and Granada recent form

newest first
Cieza LW
Granada WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Cieza vs Granada head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Cieza vs Granada odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.9%, draw 22.1%, away 61.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.49 4.20 1.54
Bet365 5.25 4.20 1.57
BetVictor 6.00 4.20 1.45
Betano 5.00 3.95 1.57
Betfair 6.50 4.50 1.47
Dafabet 5.40 4.30 1.60
Marathonbet 5.60 4.20 1.52
SBO 5.03 3.78 1.46
William Hill 5.50 4.00 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.49 ▼ -0.72
X 4.20 ▼ -0.33
2 1.52 ▲ +0.08

3 snapshots recorded, from .