Cieza
vs
Granada
Garuda Lions Prediction: Granada
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Cieza vs Granada overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cieza vs Granada
| Probability | Cieza | Draw | Granada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.7% | 29.1% | 45.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.7% | 29.1% | 45.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Granada
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Cieza vs Granada match preview
Cieza faces Granada in the Copa del Rey, with kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Granada holds a 45% probability of winning, while Cieza has a 26% chance, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. Cieza's expected goals are 1.03, compared to Granada's 1.44.
In terms of recent form, Cieza has recorded a win followed by a loss, while Granada's last six matches show two wins, one draw, and three losses. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45%, and both teams are predicted to score with a probability of 50%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cieza and Granada expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Cieza and Granada attack and defence ratings
Cieza
Granada
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Badajoz v Tenerife — match page
- Covadonga vs Real Valladolid — team news & stats
- Alcoyano vs Mallorca
- Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD Ourense — match page
- Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena — team news & stats
- Reddis v Barakaldo — match page
Before and after this match
Cieza vs Granada markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cieza | 25.7% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Granada | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Granada win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 9.8% |
Cieza vs Granada stats
Cieza and Granada recent form
| Cieza |
LW |
| Granada |
WWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.