Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger

1 – 1 Full time

5′M. Zougrana
14′Z. Ferhat
23′S. Konate
54′A. Abdellaoui
59′S. KonateA. Menezla
59′A. AbdellaouiM. Nduwumwe
60′O. Diakite
70′C. BoukholdaM. Mehdaoui
70′M. BelaribiK. Avotor
70′A. BenchouyaS. Aiboud
70′M. AbdelkaderZ. Naidji
74′A. HamdaniY. Belaribi
81′Z. Ferhat
84′C. Bekkouche
88′M. HalaimiaY. Gassi
88′A. Debbari
90′O. DiakiteA. Feddal
90′C. Bekkouche
90′C. Bekkouche
90′Z. Naidji
ASO Chlef 19%
Draw 30%
MC Alger 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ASO Chlef vs MC Alger

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityASO ChlefDrawMC Alger
Model12.9%27.5%59.6%
Market20.4%31.0%48.6%
Final18.5%30.1%51.3%
Edge-1.9%-0.9%+2.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why MC Alger

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.59.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices MC Alger below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ASO Chlef ↓ / MC Alger → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 17% 14% 1 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

ASO Chlef and MC Alger expected goals

ASO Chlef 0.59
MC Alger 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.13

ASO Chlef and MC Alger attack and defence ratings

ASO Chlef

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.27 +27%

MC Alger

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger: result vs prediction

ASO Chlef 1 – 1 MC Alger

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 MC Alger 51.3% 1.95 +2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 64.0% 1.56 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.5% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.4% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ASO Chlef18.5%
Draw30.1%
MC Alger51.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.8%
Under 2.564.2%
Both teams to scoreYes36.0%
No64.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.7%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)81.5%
Handicap -1MC Alger win32.7%
Push (exactly one goal)26.9%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-117.3%
0-214.1%
0-013.0%

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger stats

ASO Chlef and MC Alger recent form

newest first
ASO Chlef LLLDLL
MC Alger WWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1ASO Chlef wins 5Draws 4MC Alger wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-05MC AlgerASO ChlefAlgeria Ligue 12-0
2026-01-09ASO ChlefMC AlgerAlgeria Ligue 10-0
2025-06-17ASO ChlefMC AlgerLigue 10-0
2024-12-20MC AlgerASO ChlefLigue 10-0
2024-03-14MC AlgerASO ChlefLigue 16-3
2023-11-11ASO ChlefMC AlgerLigue 10-1
2023-03-31ASO ChlefMC AlgerLigue 10-0
2022-10-03MC AlgerASO ChlefLigue 12-1
2022-06-05ASO ChlefMC AlgerLigue 11-1
2022-01-29MC AlgerASO ChlefLigue 11-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ASO Chlef vs MC Alger odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.4%, draw 31.0%, away 48.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.68 2.89 1.83
Bet365 4.75 2.90 1.85
BetVictor 3.90 2.75 1.73
Betano 4.15 3.00 1.95
Betfair 4.20 3.10 1.85
Dafabet 4.20 3.10 1.92
Marathonbet 4.55 2.89 1.81
Pinnacle 4.66 3.03 1.88
William Hill 4.40 2.88 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.40 —
X 2.90 ▼ -0.05
2 1.85 ▼ -0.06

3 snapshots recorded, from .