Témouchent
vs
MB Rouisset
Garuda Lions Prediction: Témouchent
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Témouchent vs MB Rouisset
| Probability | Témouchent | Draw | MB Rouisset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 34.5% | 22.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.7% | 34.5% | 22.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Témouchent
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.72.
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset match preview
Témouchent is set to face MB Rouisset in the Algeria Ligue 1 on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Témouchent has a 46% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 33% and MB Rouisset at 21%. The expected goals for Témouchent is 1.18, compared to 0.72 for MB Rouisset, indicating a stronger offensive outlook for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring with a 16% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Témouchent has recorded a win, loss, and draw in their last three matches, while MB Rouisset comes into this fixture with two wins and three losses in their last six games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30%, and the probability of both teams scoring stands at 37%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Témouchent and MB Rouisset expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Témouchent and MB Rouisset attack and defence ratings
Témouchent
MB Rouisset
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Témouchent | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Témouchent | 42.7% |
| Draw | 34.5% | |
| MB Rouisset | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.5% |
| No | 64.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Témouchent win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.6% |
| 1-0 | 16.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset stats
Témouchent and MB Rouisset recent form
| Témouchent |
WLD |
| MB Rouisset |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.