US Biskra
vs
MC Oran
Garuda Lions Prediction: MC Oran
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
US Biskra vs MC Oran overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Biskra vs MC Oran
| Probability | US Biskra | Draw | MC Oran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.5% | 32.3% | 43.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.5% | 32.3% | 43.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why MC Oran
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
US Biskra vs MC Oran match preview
In the upcoming match between US Biskra and MC Oran, the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with MC Oran favored at 45% to win, while US Biskra has a 25% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring with a 13% probability. Both teams have a 45% chance of scoring, and the expected goals are 0.91 for US Biskra and 1.31 for MC Oran.
Recent form indicates contrasting performances, as US Biskra has recorded a sequence of results with two losses and two draws, while MC Oran has shown stronger form with three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last six matches. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the expected outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Biskra and MC Oran expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
US Biskra and MC Oran attack and defence ratings
US Biskra
MC Oran
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
US Biskra vs MC Oran markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Oran | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Biskra | 24.5% |
| Draw | 32.3% | |
| MC Oran | 43.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.3% |
| No | 58.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Oran win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 14.2% | |
| 0-0 | 14.2% |