Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

MC Oran vs Khenchela

1 – 0 Full time

24′O. Litim
58′Y. Douar
58′C. AoudjaneA. Ghenam
62′A. Zenasni
64′M. Abdelkader
66′A. Mathew FallM. Nezla
72′E. MatoutiJ. Aguieb
74′Y. DouarA. Chaibi
79′I. SaadiM. Mahadane
79′M. AbdelkaderH. Baouche
89′Z. ZaitriF. Amrane
89′A. ZenasniZ. Meddour
90′M. Belkhiter
90′O. Bagnama
MC Oran 54%
Draw 29%
Khenchela 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

MC Oran vs Khenchela overview

Garuda Lions analysis: MC Oran vs Khenchela

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMC OranDrawKhenchela
Model47.6%32.1%20.3%
Market56.3%28.1%15.6%
Final54.1%29.1%16.8%
Edge-2.2%+1.0%+1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why MC Oran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.73.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

MC Oran ↓ / Khenchela → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 9% 1 16% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 15%

MC Oran and Khenchela expected goals

MC Oran 1.24
Khenchela 0.73

Total expected goals: 1.97

MC Oran and Khenchela attack and defence ratings

MC Oran

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Khenchela

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

MC Oran vs Khenchela: result vs prediction

MC Oran 1 – 0 Khenchela

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

MC Oran vs Khenchela markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 MC Oran 54.1% 1.85 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 62.0% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.2% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2MC Oran54.1%
Draw29.1%
Khenchela16.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.7%
Under 2.568.3%
Both teams to scoreYes38.0%
No62.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.2%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)45.9%
Handicap -1MC Oran win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.1%
0-015.1%
1-113.8%

MC Oran vs Khenchela stats

MC Oran and Khenchela recent form

newest first
MC Oran WDWWDL
Khenchela WLDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

MC Oran vs Khenchela head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2MC Oran wins 3Draws 3Khenchela wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-06MC OranKhenchelaAlgeria Ligue 12-1
2025-10-04KhenchelaMC OranAlgeria Ligue 12-0
2025-05-10KhenchelaMC OranLigue 12-1
2024-11-22MC OranKhenchelaLigue 10-0
2024-03-23KhenchelaMC OranLigue 10-0
2023-11-17MC OranKhenchelaLigue 11-0
2023-04-08MC OranKhenchelaLigue 11-1
2022-10-08KhenchelaMC OranLigue 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

MC Oran vs Khenchela odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 27.8%, away 16.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.61 3.20 5.80
Bet365 1.57 3.25 5.75
BetVictor 1.53 2.90 4.80
Betano 1.67 3.25 5.40
Betfair 1.62 3.30 5.50
Dafabet 1.66 3.30 5.60
Marathonbet 1.59 3.20 5.65
Pinnacle 1.61 3.41 6.04
William Hill 1.62 3.10 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▼ -0.03
X 3.20 ▼ -0.05
2 5.78 ▲ +0.15

4 snapshots recorded, from .