Algeria Ligue 1
·
Postponed
·Matchday 6
MC Oran
vs
Khenchela
Garuda Lions Prediction: MC Oran
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
MC Oran
54%
Draw
28%
Khenchela
18%
Chance MC Oran wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes
MC Oran vs Khenchela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: MC Oran vs Khenchela
| Probability | MC Oran | Draw | Khenchela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 28.1% | 17.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.2% | 28.1% | 17.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why MC Oran
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
MC Oran and Khenchela expected goals
MC Oran
1.43
Khenchela
0.72
Total expected goals: 2.14
MC Oran and Khenchela attack and defence ratings
MC Oran
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Khenchela
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
MC Oran vs Khenchela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Oran | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Oran | 54.2% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Khenchela | 17.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Oran win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.1% |
| 1-1 | 13.0% | |
| 2-0 | 11.7% |
MC Oran vs Khenchela stats
MC Oran vs Khenchela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1MC Oran wins
0Draws
1Khenchela wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | MC Oran | Khenchela | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Khenchela | MC Oran | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.