Algeria Ligue 1 Β· Postponed Β·Matchday 7

JS El Biar vs MC Oran

Garuda Lions Prediction: JS El Biar

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

JS El Biar 43%
Draw 29%
MC Oran 28%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance JS El Biar wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
51%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

JS El Biar vs MC Oran overview

Garuda Lions analysis: JS El Biar vs MC Oran

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJS El BiarDrawMC Oran
Model42.9%29.3%27.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final42.9%29.3%27.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why JS El Biar

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 1.08.

JS El Biar vs MC Oran match preview

JS El Biar faces MC Oran in an Algeria Ligue 1 matchup on October 10, 2026. The model suggests a 43% probability of a JS El Biar victory, while MC Oran holds a 28% chance of winning, and a draw is estimated at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of JS El Biar, with an expected goals tally of 1.40 for them and 1.08 for MC Oran.

Recent form indicates JS El Biar has recorded one win and two losses in their last three matches, contrasting with MC Oran's stronger performance, which includes two wins, one draw, and one loss. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 45%, while both teams are expected to score at a rate of 51%. The confidence grade for this analysis is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

JS El Biar ↓ / MC Oran β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 10% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

JS El Biar and MC Oran expected goals

JS El Biar 1.40
MC Oran 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.48

JS El Biar and MC Oran attack and defence ratings

JS El Biar

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.14 +14%

MC Oran

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

JS El Biar vs MC Oran markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 JS El Biar 42.9% 2.33 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 51.0% 1.96 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.1% 1.39 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 56.9% 1.76 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2JS El Biar42.9%
Draw29.3%
MC Oran27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.0%
No49.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)57.1%
Handicap -1JS El Biar win21.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss56.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-010.4%
0-09.6%

JS El Biar vs MC Oran stats

JS El Biar and MC Oran recent form

newest first
JS El Biar DWLL
MC Oran DWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

JS El Biar vs MC Oran head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

JS El Biar vs MC Oran odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

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