USM Alger
vs
CR Belouizdad
Garuda Lions Prediction: USM Alger
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
| Probability | USM Alger | Draw | CR Belouizdad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.4% | 30.0% | 31.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.4% | 30.0% | 31.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad match preview
In the upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 match, USM Alger will face CR Belouizdad on October 10, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a 38% chance of a USM Alger victory, a 30% likelihood of a draw, and a 32% chance for CR Belouizdad to win. The expected goals suggest USM Alger may score 1.28 while CR Belouizdad is projected to net 1.14, highlighting a closely contested match.
Recent form shows USM Alger with two wins and four draws, while CR Belouizdad has three wins and three draws in their last six matches. The last two encounters between these teams resulted in two draws, with neither side securing a win. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of USM Alger, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
USM Alger and CR Belouizdad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
USM Alger and CR Belouizdad attack and defence ratings
USM Alger
CR Belouizdad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 38.4% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| CR Belouizdad | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | USM Alger win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad stats
USM Alger and CR Belouizdad recent form
| USM Alger |
LWWDDD |
| CR Belouizdad |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | USM Alger | CR Belouizdad | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-30 | USM Alger | CR Belouizdad | Coupe Nationale | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | CR Belouizdad | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-05 | USM Alger | CR Belouizdad | Coupe Nationale | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | CR Belouizdad | USM Alger | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-18 | USM Alger | CR Belouizdad | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-24 | CR Belouizdad | USM Alger | Coupe Nationale | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-15 | CR Belouizdad | USM Alger | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-10 | USM Alger | CR Belouizdad | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-07 | CR Belouizdad | USM Alger | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.