Garuda Lions
Today
Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 7

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad

2 – 2 Full time

8′M. Ben Hammouda
28′M. Ben Hammouda
29′M. Ben Hammouda
39′M. Ben HammoudaF. Etouga
45′M. Ramdaoui
46′G. LikonzaF. Boulaya
46′Z. DraouiD. Bensaadallah
46′H. LoucifD. Bensaadallah
54′S. Bouchar
56′Y. Laouafi
57′S. Radouani
61′R. Mahrouz
72′F. El MelaliJ. Ngandziami
72′K. BoualiaL. Boussouar
79′A. Abada
82′A. BenguitA. Tendeng
82′M. BouderbalaC. Malone Junior
83′H. Benayada
84′CR Belouizdad
86′D. KaassisM. Y. Chelfaoui
USM Alger 36%
Draw 32%
CR Belouizdad 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUSM AlgerDrawCR Belouizdad
Model40.7%30.8%28.4%
Market34.7%32.1%33.2%
Final36.2%31.8%32.0%
Edge+1.5%-0.3%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

USM Alger ↓ / CR Belouizdad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

USM Alger and CR Belouizdad expected goals

USM Alger 1.27
CR Belouizdad 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.28

USM Alger and CR Belouizdad attack and defence ratings

USM Alger

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.89 -11%

CR Belouizdad

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad: result vs prediction

USM Alger 2 – 2 CR Belouizdad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 USM Alger 36.2% 2.76 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.2% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2USM Alger36.2%
Draw31.8%
CR Belouizdad32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.9%
Under 2.560.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.1%
No52.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)68.2%
X2 (draw or away)63.8%
Handicap -1USM Alger win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-011.6%
0-011.5%

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad stats

USM Alger and CR Belouizdad recent form

newest first
USM Alger WLWWDD
CR Belouizdad WWWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

USM Alger and CR Belouizdad going into this match

league record before kick-off

USM Alger record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CR Belouizdad record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4USM Alger wins 5Draws 1CR Belouizdad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-02USM AlgerCR BelouizdadAlgeria Ligue 11-1
2026-04-30USM AlgerCR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale2-1
2025-11-08CR BelouizdadUSM AlgerAlgeria Ligue 10-0
2025-07-05USM AlgerCR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale2-0
2025-03-16CR BelouizdadUSM AlgerLigue 11-1
2024-10-18USM AlgerCR BelouizdadLigue 10-0
2024-04-24CR BelouizdadUSM AlgerCoupe Nationale0-0
2024-03-15CR BelouizdadUSM AlgerLigue 10-1
2023-11-10USM AlgerCR BelouizdadLigue 12-1
2023-07-07CR BelouizdadUSM AlgerLigue 13-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 32.1%, away 33.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.59 2.75 2.71
Bet365 2.62 2.80 2.62
BetVictor 2.38 2.60 2.55
Betano 2.62 2.87 2.80
Betfair 2.55 2.88 2.70
Dafabet 2.60 2.90 2.85
Marathonbet 2.59 2.75 2.71
Pinnacle 2.75 2.89 2.71
William Hill 2.50 2.75 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.59 —
X 2.80 ▼ -0.08
2 2.71 ▼ -0.09

3 snapshots recorded, from .