ASO Chlef
vs
MB Rouisset
Garuda Lions Prediction: ASO Chlef
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset
| Probability | ASO Chlef | Draw | MB Rouisset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.5% | 32.7% | 30.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.5% | 32.7% | 30.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset match preview
ASO Chlef faces MB Rouisset in an upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 match on October 10, 2026. The model probabilities suggest a slight edge for ASO Chlef at 37%, with a 33% chance of a draw and a 31% likelihood for MB Rouisset. The most probable scoreline is 1-0 in favor of ASO Chlef, occurring at a rate of 12%. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with ASO Chlef experiencing a streak of six matches without a win, while MB Rouisset has secured two wins in their last three outings.
In terms of expected goals, ASO Chlef is projected to score 1.10, while MB Rouisset is estimated at 0.99. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 35%, and both teams scoring is assessed at 43%. Historically, the last two encounters have resulted in no wins for either side, with ASO Chlef recording two draws against MB Rouisset.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ASO Chlef and MB Rouisset expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
ASO Chlef and MB Rouisset attack and defence ratings
ASO Chlef
MB Rouisset
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASO Chlef | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASO Chlef | 36.5% |
| Draw | 32.7% | |
| MB Rouisset | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | ASO Chlef win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 68.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-0 | 12.3% |
ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset stats
ASO Chlef and MB Rouisset recent form
| ASO Chlef |
LLLDLL |
| MB Rouisset |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | MB Rouisset | ASO Chlef | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | ASO Chlef | MB Rouisset | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.