ASO Chlef
vs
ES Setif
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Setif
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ASO Chlef vs ES Setif
| Probability | ASO Chlef | Draw | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 31.9% | 41.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.4% | 31.9% | 41.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ES Setif
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif match preview
ASO Chlef faces ES Setif in the Algeria Ligue 1, with the model assigning a 26% probability of a home win for Chlef, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 42% likelihood of an away victory for Setif. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. The expected goals for Chlef stand at 0.91, while Setif is projected at 1.22.
In terms of recent form, ASO Chlef has recorded two draws and four losses in their last six matches, whereas ES Setif has two draws, one win, and two losses in the same timeframe. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 36%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 43%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ASO Chlef and ES Setif expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
ASO Chlef and ES Setif attack and defence ratings
ASO Chlef
ES Setif
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASO Chlef | 26.4% |
| Draw | 31.9% | |
| ES Setif | 41.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.5% |
| No | 56.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Setif win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-1 | 13.1% |
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif stats
ASO Chlef and ES Setif recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ASO Chlef and ES Setif season so far
ASO Chlef record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ES Setif record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | ASO Chlef | ES Setif | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | ES Setif | ASO Chlef | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.